winterwx21

INSANE snowfall rates right now as those yellows on radar go over our area.

8 inches here so far. Glorious outside. Should be able to get close to a foot and a half here.

Were you joking with this comment? Not only do we have a couple more snow chances this week, but there's a potential arctic blast during the first week of March. It's not as if our wintry pattern is ending after this storm.

Now we're not getting the snow tomorrow morning? I'm devastated by this news.

We knew that it was gonna be white rain until late afternoon.

Wow. I went on Friday and it wasn't too bad. I usually go on Saturday but moved it up to Friday to avoid the insane crowds. I heard that yesterday it was horrific.

Hard to believe anyone would be calling for 20 to 30 right now.

It's funny how some people say we shouldn't look at models as the event gets very close. Models get more and more accurate the closer you get to the event. They'll be the most accurate right before the event is starting, so of course we should look at them.

It's not only the globals. HRRR last night had my area getting close to 2 feet, but now it's 15.

Slept late today and just getting caught up, but I'm not shocked to see that the models lowered amounts. We knew that while we couldn't discount them, it was possible that the few models that were showing the monster amounts were wrong. We've seen a lot of Euro and RGEM runs showing the much lower amounts. That's why I never went nuts and said 12 to 16 inches for our area. I'm wondering now though if it should be lowered to 10 to 14. Still going to be a great storm. I see HRRR and NAM3km give us close to 15 which would be great. Hopefully everyone knows to never get excited by the RIDICULOUSLY bad regular NAM. That model is a joke.

Wow. With the way you've been commenting on the storm, I never imagined that you were not here. Very sorry that you're going to miss it! Hopefully you're having a great time in New Orleans though.

Of course it's wrong.

NAM3km doesn't have anywhere near the regular NAM amounts.

Obviously the NAM is a ridiculously bad model with the way it overhypes. No one is getting 45 inches, lol. 30 certainly is possible though.

I'm glad to see that it made a pretty good move. The 10 inches that the Euro is showing for our area seems like a realistic worst case scenario.