winterwx21

This has turned into one heck of a sleet storm. Hour after hour of pounding sleet. What a snowstorm this would have been if not for the mixing.

To me a monster snowstorm is more like a foot and a half to 2 feet. 12 inches is a big snowstorm but far from historic. I got 8 inches here before the change to sleet.

A little frustrating that we're not getting a truly big snowstorm due to the change to sleet, but we saw the warning signs a couple days ago. Still a very nice storm. I'll sign up for 8 inches of snow and 1 to 2 inches of sleet anyday.

Exactly. What I don't like is when the ice is underneath the snow and you have to scrape hard to get it off the pavement. Much better if it's on top of the snow. This will be fine.

And when it does change to 100% sleet it will go on for awhile, so we'll add a decent amount of accumulation. Of course I don't like sleet as much as I like snow, but I still like it. Freezing rain is what I don't like.

What? NAM was the only model that was correct about it changing to sleet as early as 1pm here. It was just off a couple inches with the accumulation because it underestimated the thump. I have 8 here instead of the 6 that the NAM had before the mixing.

Lots of sleet mixed with the snow here now. About 8 inches so at least the thump was great. NAM was on the money with the early mixing.

Pingers here now. The NAM was right about the early mixing, but thankfully the thump was excellent.

Euro is aggressive in bringing in the mixing during the afternoon, but a nice thump before then. Hopefully the thump will be as advertised since the sleet will likely be here mid to late afternoon. I'd be happy with 7 or 8 before the mixing.

I think 6 to 10 is a good forecast for our area. Maybe 7 inches of snow and then 1 to 2 inches of sleet.

Much lower amounts by 21z on this NAM run. It doesn't have as strong of a thump before the change to sleet.

The NAM 3km flips us over to sleet here around 2pm ... that would be lousy.

Euro very aggressive in bringing in the sleet Sunday afternoon. Still a good thump before then, but it cut back snow amounts compared to the 12z run. The trends are not good with the mid level warming. Thank goodness we have such an extreme arctic airmass in place or else this event would fall apart.

Yep. Very unlikely that these short range models are going to be wrong about the mid level warming. It will probably look a little worse than what they're showing tonight as it gets closer. At least we know we'll get a front end dump before the sleet. Even if it's just 5 or 6 inches of snow and then a couple inches of sleet for our area, that's still a very nice winter storm that I'd be happy about.

What I don't like is when the ice is underneath the snow, like we had with a couple of the events this season. The wet snow melts at first so you end up having ice underneath the snow that you have to scrape hard to get up. Sleet on top of a powdery snow like we'll have this time won't be too bad to get up.