ravensrule

6 minutes ago, DarkSharkWX said:

here is dynamic slr/cobb ratio(takes in account all layers of atmosphere + rates better)

Looks great to me. Not so much for DC. I’m due though, I basically got skunked last time when DC got 10”. 

Just now, Fozz said:

I would too, but I’m not sure I believe this map if it were to play out with those temp profiles.

I hear you. Regardless it’s one run. I’m not sweating anything. 

Just now, midatlanticweather said:

Well crap! CMC looks north as well. Well, let's hope it gets better tomorrow.

 

Crap model. 

Just now, AtlanticWx said:

i think the panic comes from the tight gradient and the fact that we're still so far out

I mean the panic over one run. Sure if we get 6 straight runs like this i get it. Either way for my neck of the woods i would take this in a heartbeat. 

2 minutes ago, DarkSharkWX said:

This isnt even that bad 

I would sign on this in a heartbeat. Not sure what all the panic is about. 

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Backside isn't bad tho

That’s not the first time I have heard you say that. 

4 minutes ago, Deck Pic said:

GFS is a torch....ouch...low plows inland

You scared me. It still gives me almost 10”. 

2 minutes ago, Deck Pic said:

This storm is kind of simple for the global models.  So I think some people will issue determinative forecasts too early.  

Every local TV station plus the national news tonight, was talking about it already. Pretty unusual 

5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

The Germans are Fing with us 

Unfortunately it’s not the first time. 

6 minutes ago, nj2va said:

2 days ago, this threat didn’t pop up on most people’s radars.  

Do you really have to encourage him?. 

7 minutes ago, Fozz said:

The big ones rarely ever hit during midweek. I don't know why. 

Feb 10 was a Wednesday. 

1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

Tucked 

I think we should call this the Justin Tucker storm. 

Welcome to the home and gardening forum. 

2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Tomer Berg said something to that effect on Twitter earlier IIRC

Interesting. Thanks. 

1 minute ago, Terpeast said:

Wait, is that really true?!

@dtk is this true?. 

Just now, Solution Man said:

Short Pump?

Hard Pump. 

8 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

Agree.  Might leave them up.  3 inches looks like 10 inches if you squint.  Either measurement gets the job done…10 inches is better of course 

Thank you Mrs. Bristow. 

15 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

The GFS is a legit weenie run. Like a crazy winter weenie run. Happy mofo New year~

You sound like you just got laid….. for the first time. 

11 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Glad I stayed up for the GFS

Are you staying up for the Euro?. 

Just now, Chris78 said:

Icon is a DC and southeast snow.

Definitely the most souther of the globals. Looks cold. Snow down into Central Va

Edit: Yoda beat me to it

Right where we want it at this point. 

7 hours ago, nj2va said:

Watching football at a bar on the lake with snow falling. Good way to spend my 40th. 

Happy Birthday!!!!

4 minutes ago, anotherman said:

My personal favorite adult experience was the 2010 twin blizzards. I’ve never seen that much snow in this part of the world. Over 50 inches on the ground. My wife was pregnant at the time and our heat went out during the second storm. Luckily, the sun came out the next day and the heat came back on.

Best childhood memory was the blizzard of ‘93. It was during my senior year of high school. Went to bed with a thunderstorm and temps in the 50s. Work up to 15 inches of snow blowing up against the front door. There was also a huge accumulation of sleet under the snow. Amazing storm!

I don’t think anyone here can handle my favorite adult experience. 

https://www.instagram.com/reel/C1iQCwmgBIB/?igsh=anVqMnk1YWNzdXB6 

15 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

I was too little to remember much of it, but my mom STILL talks about it to this day, and she’s lived through all the blizzards here including from 79 through 16. I think 83 was her favorite and still has pics of it. 

83 was by far the best storm here ever. I don’t even think it’s close, and i was here for all the other big ones. 

8 hours ago, psuhoffman said:

The 7th still has potential but the wave needs more space. But it has to come from the back side not the front. RR you’re welcome. We need the 50/50 feature to offset the developing ridge over the top as the western trough develops.  That backing off just leads to rain. What we need is for the western trough to trend weaker or further west. A stronger SW initially would help too. 
 

After that I think a warm up is inevitable. I always felt that way. But there are paths to avoid it becoming a disaster. We need to see signs that the pac pattern will progress and not get stuck in Nina forcing.  We have the high latitude look we need now we just need the Nino look in the pac and it’s game on.  Not buying the Nina pattern locking in yet.  On to todays runs.   

I’ll be praying for back side help so we aren’t in such a tight situation between rain and snow. I would like some spacing.