Franklin0529

Just now, Wxoutlooksblog said:

There is nothing here to weep about tonight.

WX/PT

Definitely not

Just now, Jt17 said:

lol yea sure looks like it caved to the GFS

Looks terrible doesn't it lol

Just now, Nibor said:

Beautiful 

Just now, Jt17 said:

00z:

 

18z:

Basically identical 

The euro still crushed coastal areas li an NYC.  

So we canceling because gfs was east? But euro/nam/cmc look great?

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

That looks good to me

Just now, SnoSki14 said:

Yup that's all she wrote. I think the Euro is gonna lose this one. GFS has been killing it this season.

All she wrote?? Lol it wasnt even a drastic shift

Just now, Rjay said:

Not a fan of this gfs run so far. 

Nope. Definitely gonna be east 

Gfs leaving a lot of energy back.  Dont think its gonna be good

Looks like it starts Friday night with the over running. 

1 minute ago, Jt17 said:

yowza

 

Thing of beauty.  Ok cmc your turn!!

Nuke incoming on the nam

Just now, eduggs said:

We're all just pretty much guessing. If the GFS eventually shifts westward I expect it to shift slowly. It has exhibited relatively high run to run consistency at this range recently, even when it was an outlier.

If I had to guess the eventual outcome I'd say offshore track east of the 18z Euro but with a mature upper level circulation and expansive northwestern precipitation shield (i.e. trof pretty far east but wrapped up). Good hit for LI, parts of CT, and maybe coastal NJ with NYC right on the edge of good snow.  In other words I expect a late phase but an explosive tilting and deepening of the trof thereafter. Just a wild guess though.

Thanks for the insight 

4 minutes ago, eduggs said:

60-70mb surface pressure difference possible with this. That's solid.

Do u think gfs will eventually cave?

Still would like to see another model get on board. the euro been honking on a monster. 

2 minutes ago, EasternLI said:

Looks great to me

Let's see what eps shows 

Still looks good. I just dont think it's as amped

1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said:

Is that east of 12z

Yes

Doesn't look like euro gonna be as amped

Be nice to get gfs or cmc on board with euro/nam. 

What's everyone guess for the gfs? Move toward euro or still east?