haudidoody

34 minutes ago, Warm Nose said:

In fairness, NONE of the models have verified, so perhaps the best strategy is to simply trust the climo and play the percentages based on that.

Try that here and you'll get banned.

Although it's historically the best approach to forecasting. 95% experience and probabilities, 5% guidance

Never made it over 3 inches here anyway.

Still just flurries here in Fairfax and under 2 inches... off to Costco and Wegmans to do some shopping.

Hope I can make it...

Flurries, don't know the temperature, maybe 1.5" in Fairfax.

Nothing unexpected from this storm with a B-like more northerly evolution... we've all seen it before, despite the concern expressed by neighbors to the north who live in different climates.

My only regret this year is not buying an epic pass so I could enjoy some real snow.

90% snow now in Fairfax.

Nice... snowing here according to my phone.

3 minutes ago, Ji said:

can you imagine anyone who loves snow living in Fairfax

It's practically Old Town. Total disaster.

Drizzle in Fairfax.

2 minutes ago, Ruin said:

for those who said im lying about the dry slow listed below is a pic. btw I want it to fill in and every one to get snow. im also looking down stream to see what is coming north as well.

Keep going, you've attracted all the right people.

Pouring rain at 33... maybe flood watch will verify?

Wet rain continues... making it hard to see out my window.

That sleet line is jamming north now; family just turned over in Sterling.

Mostly rain now, took about 30 mins to transition over here.

Sleet and rain now in Fairfax.

I grew up in Sparta, stop posting here!  

90% sleet now, got about an inch+ of snow. Better than my old snowhole though in Alexandria which looks like zilch as usual.

Going over to sleet now in Fairfax, bit of a mix.

Just having our burst of huge flakes... sleet about 1 mile away according to traffic cams.

Just now, TJ3 said:

Wow. The secondary roads in Mclean caved on a dime. Plows came by and covered right back up.  Showing 31 degrees

Hooray for December sun angle. Still riding the line here in southern Fairfax, melty flakes, sleet close by... getting close to an inch at 420 feet.

-SN but seeing signs of warming a bit upstairs with a mix of tiny and large flakes... riding the line I think at this point.

Loud sleety flakes in Fairfax at a light rate, expect things to pick up in about 20 minutes.

Flurries in Fairfax last ten minutes or so.... hope we can hold onto the sleet for a bit longer than expected.

1 minute ago, poolz1 said:

Thought the same thing...maybe records go back further for the cities than IAD?

Yes, IAD only goes back to like 1962 or something close to that.

Bullish for DC. Also, why is Little River Turnpike treated like a highway on that map. Can't trust it.

1 hour ago, ravensrule said:

I’m definitely not one to defend @H2O but it has to be extremely annoying and frustrating when people think they know your climate better than you and on top of it a large majority of the forum gets a lot more snow than you. I would be cranky as hell. 

I'd not bother posting about Old Town Alexandria climo or conditions back in the day because the times I did and claimed profiles were going to be too warm despite the models, or it was 35 and rain when it was snowing in Chevy Chase, didn't turn out well.  Either way, this storm isn't going to perform in my 'hood here in Fairfax. That's OK. I could drive to a family home in east central PA but I won't because I don't want to bother putting my winter wheels on my car. A positive of little snow here. Not worth it.