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Conway7305

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Everything posted by Conway7305

  1. Thanks RIC would have posted but had to step away for work.
  2. I will say though the 6z euro did increase amounts very slightly NW from 0z so I think the east trend is done on euro. My guess is euro adjusts slightly NW and NAM continues to adjust SE to meet in the middle. RVA gets 2-4 with a max of 5”. It will be a cold snow so should pile up.
  3. I don’t mean to be a downer but The NAM is also shifting the low SE past two or 3 runs. 3k is starting to look like the GFS. Regular NAM still good for us in RVA but is beginning to drop accumulations. I saw a small SE movement last night but odidn’t say anything because thought it was noise. Will see what 12z says. …:/ My guess is we see 2-4 inches
  4. Looks ok but not as good as NAM. IMO HRRR is more accurate 24 hours before a storms arrival.
  5. haha, I hope he is right and if he is, he deserves it. He will let everyone know the NW correction is real…lol On the flip side the NAM could be out to lunch which is a possibility and corrects SE. On another positive note. The latest SREF runs were better.
  6. I don’t think it was a step back from 18z . maybe precip shield on northern fringes dropped a hair but a good run!
  7. I think the bleeding at least stopped from the SE trend on Euro. Looks similar to 12z maybe just a hair N.
  8. Looks like healthier precip shield on GFS at hour 42. FWIW
  9. Could this be the NW correction DT was talking about? Who knows
  10. I’ll be looking at the HRRR and the NAM from here on out.
  11. We’re gonna miss you RIC. Please check in on us!
  12. If NAM fails, then I’ll see y’all at Hurricane season…lol. We have major warmup coming next couple weeks.
  13. That is big short range run , someone on main thread said it’s because of better interaction out west.
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