HVSnowLover
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Everything posted by HVSnowLover
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Yea because of the temps issue I get where you are coming from although I think if it's west enough to snow in the Hudson Valley it will be strong enough to bring the snow line down to I95. We are far away from that solution right now.
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Not so much cold but definitely snowy, the coast had a great run in terms of intense snowstorms.
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Agree a weak low at or east of the benchmark is rain/snow showers. This needs to be sub 990 and tracking inside the BM for the majority of the subforum to have a chance. Until I see that this is a non event.
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We know storms tend to trend west so the models are really not in an awful spot for 4 days out, I just don't know if a scraper will do it temp wise for the area. We probably need a bomb closer to the coast in this type of scenario which is looking more and more unlikely but still not impossible.
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A bit more west and bombing out earlier would be ideal but yea too much more west and we are going to get the boats ready and the way this winter is going that wouldn't shock me.
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GFS verbatim is warm for the coast but with a low in that spot at that strength I think this would be mostly snow for everyone. This could be big if it bombs out a bit earlier
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GFS way NW
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Clearly marginal and a dynamics dependent storm, it depends on the dynamics, if it blows up and hits the area then it could snow, the setup isn't great but it's possible.
