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WxBlue

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxBlue

  1. Still a bit ignorant of NE climatology, but I bet we'd be talking about the possibility of diamond dust as far south as Boston if that's the case.
  2. Even staying all-snow here, I'm having a tough time seeing us matching 16-18" forecast from GYX. I'm comfortable with my 12-18" call for my town.
  3. And it goes up to 1039-1040 mb over upper Quebec during the event.
  4. I understand newbies wouldn't know about this right off the bat, but veteran posters should've learn by now about that weakness. There were several CAD-linked events in which surface temperatures were off by as much as 10-15 degrees. Likely the case again here.
  5. 1037 mb high pressure screams "I'M A CLASSIC ARCTIC HIGH" to me. It's laying down the cold air at all levels ahead of the storm.
  6. Yep. Probably just a short-term noise here.
  7. They're thinking about ad money they'll receive from increasing views due to hype of #FAKENEWS.
  8. It's a screenshot of a video so the quality is trashy, but the hype from Weather Channel is insane. Where are they finding 3+ feet of snow?? Please don't tell me they're using Kuchera ratio...
  9. I actually agree with you. I don't think this storm has the longevity with the heavy precip for us to get over 18" in central NH.
  10. I'm planning on hibernating at my place with lot of junk food for these championship games. I'm a Rams fan so you can imagine my excitement for this Sunday... I just hope this storm doesn't mess with the power (I don't think it will).
  11. Yeah, I deleted that comment after looking at the NAM again. I was thinking each frame as one hour interval... it's still early in the morning for me haha
  12. THANK YOU. This is such a great idea to make while watching my Rams in NFC Championship game
  13. Sounds reasonable. Maybe I'll compromise and go with 8-16" when chatting with co-workers tomorrow. That's a good starting point at least, depending on how far the sleet line make it northward on models.
  14. I don't know what to expect here. I like 10-18" for now.
  15. Haha. Or that Weather Channel map. Few coworkers asked me about the 24" too.
  16. Funny thing is, for a southerner, I have no accent. But y'all do talk a lot faster up here haha.
  17. Considering attending to this, but my hearing is terrible (I'm deaf with cochlear implant) so I might get lost if conversation become fast-paced.
  18. Y'all are making me feel better about turning 24. I was about 18 when I found out about AmericanWx as a lurker.
  19. A part of me is glad I grew up experiencing these southern winters with 10"+ seasons being rare because, to me, anything that fall on the ground here still feel like gravy to me. So, as slow as this season has been, I still feel content as I'm used to it.
  20. Yep! Had 19" from 03-08 event and 24" from 03-13 event. It was the deepest snow depth I ever experienced (26").
  21. It was indeed in March of 1993. Most of North Carolina's greatest storms occurred between late January and early March so it's bizarre to have a huge event like this in early December... I doubt this event will reach 1993 levels (Boone saw 33 inches while Asheville saw 18 inches), but it's definitely up there with 1996 blizzard and January 2016 event.
  22. I still can't believe models are approaching to 20" in Asheville and Boone. That's Storm of the Century level of epic. If I didn't get 43" of snow in 5 days last winter, I'd be really salty right now.
  23. Yep, that's the biggest thing. It ALWAYS start with 15-25" medium-range model runs to get everyone hyped up only for the event to disappear because it's too warm or if the storm tracked too far north. Or if a warm nose sneaked in and turn 1-1.5" of liquid into ZR/sleetfest. The dread of disappointment is very real each event.
  24. Taking a peek at our southeast subforum, I'm honestly glad I don't have to feel huge emotional swings run-to-run anymore. Comparing to New England, winter forecasting is MUCH more of a headache and a huge pain as models are lacking consistency all the way to last minute that we enjoy up north. You're dealing with several factors such as the track of storm, the type of storm, extreme terrain of western NC mountains, and the strength of cold-air damming. The result? Extreme snow gradients everywhere.
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