Final thoughts
The Canadian suite had a good storm, probably because for some reason the GGEM had a better handle on the H5 evolution this time around. The HRDPS was particularly impressive. As expected, there was a north trend among models at the end, but notably there was not one for the GGEM - it basically wobbled about the final solution. I'm not sure why that is. Although we've come to expect a north trend, there's no physical reason for it to happen. It's purely modeling error, and as such eventually it should go away. I'm not sure what it is about the GGEM that prevented it from oversuppressing this system, but it will be interesting to see if it performs similarly in similar setups down the line.
The FV3 did respectably, but not great. It was clearly a step up from the old GFS though. A better test might be to see how well it does against the GFS when the GFS puts up more of a fight.