WeatherFox

1500Z surface analysis December 16, 2020.  Pending NE snowstorm..

If interested, a link to listen to NYC..news & weather..  Up to minute and live.
 

https://www.radio.com/1010wins

18Z GFS MOS: Solid snowstorm for KNYC-New York City.  Good luck, y'all.

1 minute ago, Snowlover11 said:

Well this has been a dagger to MOST of us.  obviously our north and west guys will do extremely well but once again we all got sucked in by the models(me included).

Exactly, snowstorms are extremely challenging to forecast in the details from several days out.  Board members follow the models, the analysis for the excitement but some will be disappointed in the end.

https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=OKX&product=N0Z&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

Radar 1800 UTC

I keyed into several sentences from the NYC Forecast Discussion and edited.  Here are three:  

..overall model performance this winter has been subpar regarding similar precipitation type (PTYPE) events, with
too much wintry precip forecast versus actual observations..

..a reasonable worst case scenario with a snowier outcome is for 1-3 inches east and 3-4
inches from NYC on west..

..of note is the 12z European ECMWF Ensemble EPS mean probability for greater than 3 inches is generally less than 30
percent..

So I wouldn't get my hopes up for heavy snow in NYC for the Wednesday-Thursday event.  Unfortunately for snow lovers, only 8.7 inches of snow recorded at Central Park, New York to date this winter.. Anyway-good luck..there is still time this winter and I'll watch from Florida :).