Mikehobbyst Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 Most of the models like the GFS and ECMWF are indicating height rises near Alaska, a favorable Pacific, - EPO and positive NAO. A nice gradient pattern overunning will set up with impulses tracking from TN valley to DE/SNJ coast with VA in the 60's and NYC and PHL in PE/ZR events with low level cold established and warmer mid levels with gradient pattern and SE ridge still hanging on. It will likely be frigid in northern NE and SE Canada for most of January. SNE and CNE will probably have high snow totals this January from repetitive overunning events. Do you agree with this ? This is the closest match to that 1/94 pattern we've had. This summer and fall was similar to 1993 as well, but 12/93 had more cold and snow in the second half however. Wasn't that with a weakening NINA too ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 This is the closest match to that 1/94 pattern we've had. This summer and fall was similar to 1993 as well, but 12/93 had more cold and snow in the second half however. Wasn't that with a weakening NINA too ? No, 93-94 was a neutral-positive winter with the ONI around +0.2/+0.3...it turned into a weak Niño by Summer 1994, which continued to strengthen into the fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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