Monmouth_County_Jacpot

Just now, dave0176 said:

I work for PSE&G on the gas and appliance side, they called forced OT for everyone already.

I work for con Edison same here

Euro looks a tick se thru hr 33

Who doing the pbp for gfs

Storm at the bench mark in late January and it’s a mix smh typical winter around here

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Very strong winds for NYC east on the Nam with the low being west of NYC.

Hasn’t the storm been running east of it’s forecast track?

11 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

No sign of changing ? What are you looking at ?

Must be a D10 gfs run... give it a break already pattern has been locked in since the beginning of December. Stevie wonder saw this coming!!!!

14 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

What looks warm ? The pattern is going to get colder.  Mjo is going to become favorable.

Ant,  how long has the pattern looked to become colder?,  and please don’t take this as a shot to you or anyone  because I love the cold and snow I thrive on it but it doesn’t seem likely 

I don’t know about anyone else, but the pattern has been lock in since early December, and I don’t expect a snowy forecast to prevail. My reasoning is as follows. We have had less than a nickel and dime event in early / mid November. We have since warmed early dec through January. We now face record warmth in early to mid January. Looking at the long range it appears you can not trust anything past D5 and the models look warm through-out with a front end thump followed by rain. Listen  I love snow but the writing is on the wall and it’s happening n durning solar minimum.

Looks to be a se ridge at the end of the 12z eps jeez can’t catch a break

Have a feeling this winter is going to be Dominated by the PAC. The most we may see is nickel and dime storms. Time will tell but that’s my feeling.

Jeez that pac does not want to relax...

1 minute ago, binbisso said:

I usually favor the Euro over the other operational models but the Euro just caved to the  GFS for the pre-Christmas storm. Verbatim it's a Miss but that is awfully close and a very nice-looking setup

Few hundred miles west we would be good

4 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said:

Just a few hundred miles north and we are in the game. And plenty of time to get there!

Look at hr 216 a few hundred miles west we are in the game

Euro is warm at the end of its run. That pacific jet means business... ahhhhhh how sad

Sleeting in Brooklyn 

Temps already dropping 

3 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said:

anddd its over, i love the snowhole over westchester so far this season, awesome!

No worries the storm on the 22 should hit you if it stays the way it’s shown on the 18z gfs

2 minutes ago, Dan76 said:

You mean this one?

Just one time, one time for the love of god I wish that would happen...

Anyone else notice that 3 and a half day ice storm in Texas starting dec 12th on the 18z gfs wow

3 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

Still sleet in Brooklyn but starting to change.

Where in Brooklyn because it’s snowing in Livingston st and Nevins st

Radar is filling in rain / snow line is approaching city

EPS anyone??

32 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said:

Ukmet is pretty far from a coastal hugger and it’s a lot cooler than GFS.

Might be a heads up to what the euro might do 

4 minutes ago, bluewave said:

That’s what happens with a firehose Pacific Jet and run up to near record early December AO spike.

What goes up does come down. Hopefully the crash is as extreme as the rise...

Looks stormy on the euro at least it’s active