mikeosborne38

I like watching Damon Lane. Not sure which station but he stays calm and gives you just the facts without hyperbole.

I just heard an OKC met look at the cone tornado and then announced it was an EF-2 just by eyeballing it. I thought that was odd.

Good read thanks for sharing. Just shows you can have all the parameters in place you want; but the mesoscale factors ultimately make or break tornado potential.

Good points. I will admit that as someone who lived through 4/27, I compare every higher risk event to that day, which I now realize is unrealistic. April 3, 1974, and April 27, 2011 belong in categories totally by themselves. It's easy to forget you can have bad days like Super Tuesday, etc. that don't rise to that level but are still pretty bad. Truth is, like you said those super outbreaks are once in a generation and there's a good chance I wont see a day like 4/27 in my lifetime. Unfortunately also I think some people just won't take responsibility for their own safety, regardless of the wording used sadly.

I'll answer for myself. I have family in Midwest City and I only mentioned a bust because I was happy it was trending that way. I lived through 4/27 and don't wish that on anyone. Like Dr Shepherd mentions in the article the current 24/7 news cycle along with social media and the search for likes and clicks contribute to some accusations of sensationalism. Also, a good question posed in that article is are words like "dangerous"and "catastrophic"being over used? In hindsight maybe mentioning 4/27 was a mistake as that day stands in a category by itself, even among high risk outbreak days. People were expecting multiple violent tornadoes down at the same time like 4/27. Most lay person's don't read forecast discussions, etc to know possible limiting factors.

It looks like OKC is transitioning to mainly a flooding threat with maybe some embedded tornadoes in the line later tonight.

What's frustrating is many Oklahoman residents will be pissed that this event was hyped and to then nothing happened while schools and businesses we're closed. We weather geeks know mesoscale things can make or break an event. However the average person will become complacent and point to events like this to not take potential dangerous weather seriously.

So true. Someone earlier this morning posted a radar shot from the supercells from 4/27 and lined it up below a simulated HRRR radar shot showing multiple supercells. News stations and other people only communicate the risk but not the limiting factors that could mitigate the risk. I know the chief meteorologist for KOCO (Payne I believe) spoke about things that could temper the risk.

Sorry I was the person that made that statement about 4/27. I made it out of relief as I lived through that day and was worried for Oklahoma when people compared today directly to 4/27. Hopefully everything trends away from what was shown this morning.

Today proves how extremely rare days like April 27 2011 really are. Most outbreak days have some limiting factors unlike that day. Good news for the immediate OKC area.