ayuud11
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Everything posted by ayuud11
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Yea Tim you’re right the band looks like it’s on its way toward the Falls area lol, 4.5” so far and we’re down to flurries..
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Yea can confirm the 250 as its impacting Cheektowaga right now, we were missing out earlier with that 230 wind.
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This is really looking good for the Metro area since most models don't have the band cranking till late tonight.
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Typed that too soon, +SN right now!!
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I feel left out man, Nothing but flurries out here in Cheektowaga....
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Man i keep telling you boys don't trust those Kuchera maps, you're going to be disappointed lol
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18z HRDPS goes to town over the metro area on Wednesday!
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That southerly component though.. Fine I'll relax lol
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Idk man the 12z hi-res models have a little more southerly component to the wind especially Canadian it has that band all the way up to southern Niagara..
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IMO northtowns are gonna get smoked I mean we’re talking about a steady 240-250 flow for over 24hrs with little to no shear and decent moisture per BUFKIT profiles..
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Dude BUFKIT profiles look great, NWS seems a little cautious with this upcoming one not sure why lol.. run after run of the GFS has shown a consistent moist SW'ly flow with little to no shear.
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IMO areas like West side,Delaware park,Blackrock haven't really had that much of luck since that Oct'06 LES event, last night was a prime example as those same areas got shafted while areas north and east of them were cashing in..
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Actually, a lot of people forget but the Northtowns did have a Major LES back in '10 courtesy of Lake Ontario!
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Dude unless I'm looking at something else that late Tues to early Thursday timeframe looks really good for LES, I mean the parameters on the BUFKIT are ridiculous lol.
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Bufkit data looked really good..
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OSU what are your thoughts on that LES potential mid next week?
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FWIW we picked up another 6" here in Cheektowaga since 5pm, that brings the total since last night just a lil over a foot. Not bad at all!
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Transition Zone my friend..
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Damm slow down LES band!! That thing is flying wow..
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Yep latest 3km man places it right over the metro area from 0z-05z before it dies down. Another 4-8” I’d estimate if we can get those decent rates we had last night.
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Thunder snow being reported across the Southtowns..
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Gotta love high winds, ROC almost had a foot once from an Erie band!
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Nice to wake up to a fresh 6 inches of snow, HI-RES models have a decent band again in the metro area from 0z-05z tonight before it dies down..
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Pouring snow atm prolly close to 2”/hr rates!
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The 0z models have the band off by 20 miles at least since they started it at central erie rather than where it s at right now.
