masomenos

Wow

I'd have to say this is one of the more intense backdoor fronts I've ever seen around here. Incredible temp drop and pretty impressive winds.

2018 has even managed to make usually boring backdoor fronts kinda interesting.

1 hour ago, Isotherm said:

 

I'm at -4.2 for March, with a mean temp of 36.9F. For comparison, February had a mean temp of 40.7F! This month's temperatures are more akin to December.

My maximum temperature this March has been 58F, which is lower than my max in Dec (65), Jan, (63), and Feb (78). A maximum temperature in the upper 50s is fairly cool even in mid winter, nevermind March. Really demonstrates the -NAO blocking effectiveness in precluding significant warm-ups.

This week now looks to struggle in the 50s. I may not hit 60F this March, which must be almost record breaking.

The other impressive thing is that we achieved these departures without any real cold to work with in Canada. Given the intensity of the pattern we just witnessed the last few weeks, I think we got off kind of easy as far as temps go.

2 hours ago, gravitylover said:

Say hello to springtime. Yes this is today 20 minutes from my house. 

 

I was very impressed by the amount of snow on the ground by Harriman State Park when I was up that way last week. Went there to take some pictures, but couldn't even move around the trails without being thigh deep in snow. Definitely the deepest winter I've seen in the area this late in the season.

Most of the models are kind of past their usefulness for a system like this--at least until the ccb and banding sets up. But from everything we've seen so far, this storm is probably going to be one of those deals where places like Eastern Monmouth are getting blitzed while New Brunswick is 34 and rain/white rain. Given the state of the broader global pattern right now, I'd place my bets on something interesting happening over meh, though.  

6 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Over. 75 maybe, 80? Well we would just about be calling it a day

74 is the all-time Jan high for Newark (01/26/1950). No all-time monthly records feel safe anymore after what we've experienced today.

Is it just me, or do these  hot winter days feel so weird with the low sun angle--kinda dream-like?

My car therm hit 85 while driving through Newark and that matches up with the airport high nicely given the heat from the road. Incredible day.

Over/Under 10 years for first 80 degree Jan high for any NYC station??

Seems like areas with the slightest elevation are really cashing in. 

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Today is the most extensive ice coverage on our local waterways since Feb 15.

That ice covering a good chunk of the Raritan Bay is very impressive. Pretty sure that didn't happen during Feb 15 or Jan 04.

If we had another week of this cold we'd probably start seeing major disruptions to shipping in the NY harbor. Pretty good icing just started reaching NY Bay this morning.

9 hours ago, NorthShoreWx said:

Seems to happen a lot here.  I'm only a mile or two from the Sound and there's a constant roar in the treetops during these storms.  I think there's a connection. The snow growth theory may have merit as well.

The good news is that while we may have less snow [depth] on the ground tonight, I find it lasts longer here.

I have family that lives near the NJ coast and I always notice the same thing whenever I experience the bigger coastal storms down there. Little wind seems to reach the ground and the trees barely move, yet it sounds like a busy airport outside. Snow quality is usually in the 8-10:1 range regardless of temperature, too.

13 minutes ago, Big Jims Videos said:

There's no way to tell. We've had 3-4 inch an hour rates in point pleasant beach since 7:30. 

 

Yeah, I'm expecting some pretty whacky totals on the final PNS for this storm. Someone might report 25" while just a few towns over report something like 12". lol

Somebody is definitely going to crack 20" along the NJ coast...already plenty of reports greater than 10" and that was at 10 am.

11 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

At 3 pm, TEB was reporting an 82° reading. That figure is suspect, as it is notably warmer than the temperature at any other nearby location.

6 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

I noticed that last week when they were 5 degrees higher than all other sites

Those warm spikes tend to happen at TEB fairly often. I'm pretty sure the spikes are caused by jet exhaust since the sensor is unusually close to the runway/taxiways.

Good stuff.

Being on the southern edge of the huge seasonal snowfall gradient that exists in the lower half of the northeast, it usually takes a -NAO to get a solid winter around here, but +NAO winters aren't quite the same death sentences they are once you get to Philly and further south, either.

Microcanes must be an awesome sight from a distance. I'm guessing if you were on a ship, you'd be able to see the rotation and towering cloud tops of the storm while basking in sunshine?

On 6/13/2017 at 8:12 PM, powderfreak said:

Wow at Snowbird this morning.

 

They still manage to get better quality snow than the east even in June!

The ski areas in Oregon have been getting it really good too...Timberline is at their highest depth of the season. Looks like midwinter all the way down to 3000' on the cams.

3 hours ago, nzucker said:

Very similar winter to last year with near record warmth but slightly above average snowfall. Quite surprising that we had one event per month given how warm Jan and Feb were. My biggest storm was 9.5" on 2/9 in a month that finished +6.

Everyone will remember the "bust" on March 13th, though, which leaves a bitter taste. What was billed as a blockbuster 20+ event ended with 7.6" in Central Park. 

This winter was very similar to many of the analogs posted including 71-72, 73-74, 83-84, and 07-08. You have to adjust for how mild the climate is nowadays...the older analogs will never verify exactly because of the overall warmth. 

I'd argue that the cold shots were NOT that intense. Central Park had a winter low of 14F, only 5F colder than the record high minimum of 19F set in 01-02. 2015-16 was -1F, 14-15 was 2F, and 13-14 was 4F. So we were much warmer than recent years.

I was alluding more to the December and March cold shots.  Those were definitely fairly impressive...especially areas just outside the city. Our most favorable setups for single digit cold occurred outside of Jan-Feb, so our lowest winter min ended up on the higher side. 

Quite a few of those winters had fairly impressive warm-ups, too. In a lot of ways this winter conformed to the winters on that list quite nicely--the key difference being the overpowering warmth in February.  The cold shots that made their way down were usually pretty intense, though...just not many of them.

2 hours ago, nzucker said:

Thought we were talking big cold shot Wednesday/Thursday?

Was talking more along the lines of snow and severe cold. Brief shot of cold air coming up, but nothing I'd consider overly anomalous--especially after what we saw last week.

43 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

Great visible loop with snowcover 

 

 

 

Incredible shot! You can actually see the snowline slowly receding back north. Given the long range forecast, doesn't look like the arctic will be making anymore advances to most of the northeast until next fall/winter.

This heat is definitely up there with March '12 and December '16 for intensity.

Not too often the NYC area has the same temp as Miami during February.

1 hour ago, HailMan06 said:

 

That's an awesome shot. You can see how the Raritan and Pascack valleys are holding in the fog along the northern extent.

2 hours ago, DavisStraight said:

Skiing til 4th of July in bikinis and shorts

Probably more like Labor Day if this pattern can keep up into April.