Fields27

Well 18z is weaker initially with the low and also has a worse track. Doesn't wrap in nearly as much cold air. Nice cold January coastal rainstorm.

Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk

Well I've yet to ever start a topic but with the winter we are having how can it hurt? Plus all the topics we have open are "obs" threads.

Anyway the 6z gfs was a big step in the right direction for the weekend storm. Very close for the I95 crew. Nw burbs cash in.

Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk

Moderate snow. Ugh I wish this didn't have to change over.

Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk

Light snow has commenced once again.
25/18

Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk

Based on obs reports out of the MA sub I'm guessing we have maybe an hour of snow from the second batch until mixing starts. Hope I'm wrong.

Currently 23/19 in Reading with cloudy skies.

Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk

Yea officially in the lull now. About an inch in Reading. Radar looks juicy out west. Lets see how long we can hold onto snow.

Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk

And just like that. Moderate snow with everything covered.

Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk

Took until we got under the yellows but its snowing. To be fair there wasn't much in front of the yellows.

Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk

That line has been holding together nicely. I've also been following the obs down in the MA and there is almost no virga with that line. That brings up a question tho. If that line comes through and we get some snow, does that line itself moisten up the atmosphere so that when the next batch gets here we won't have to deal with virga?

Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk

Will be interesting to see how that initial band plays out. It seems to be backbuilding/filling in north of the pa border. If we can limit the lull that would really help out totals.

Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk

22/6 Reading

Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk

18z gfs slowed the bleeding a bit.

Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk

Canadian drying up a bit.

Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk

And almost always is a fast mover. Once Allentown flips, we here in Tamaqua flip about a half hour later...

Light snow in Reading.

Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk

Had some pingers a bit ago. Seems to have changed to mostly rain at the moment. Very light. Reading.

Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk

I'm just never a fan of the snow, to sleet, to rain scenarios. They never play out well around here. The changeover is always sooner than modeled.

Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk

31 dp26 moderate sleet 

Gfs even showing heavier amounts further south. Not quite enough for the philly crew, but just enough for me in Berks.

Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk

Most mesos are showing that deformation band in the general area. Whoever gets under that as the slp stalls will see the better snows...but you already know this. That CCB band will be somewhere in SE PA.

I can guarantee this is not happening. I'm never, never in a heavy snow band.

So just ignore the scorching bl that all guidance has to start for several hours? Better hope it is fast and furious to cool the column else alot is going to be wasted on mixing in and around I95 that's all I'm saying. And yeah I know not to buy the hrrr at face value. Still raising an eyebrow tho

18z hrrr starts as rain for several hours all the way past state college. Air mass and bl are just warm AF. Not sure we overcome this to get the high end totals. This may very well under produce for many....hope I'm wrong. NAMs were also warmer. We waste some time waiting for the changeover to snow. Rarely do we overperform in these situations. If this were January I would feel ok. Being March now, not too much of a confident feeling. Gonna have to go into upstate PA to jackpot.

18z hrrr starts as rain for several hours all the way past state college. Air mass and bl are just warm AF. Not sure we overcome this to get the high end totals. This may very well under produce for many....hope I'm wrong. NAMs were also warmer. We waste some time waiting for the changeover to snow. Rarely do we overperform in these situations. If this were January I would feel ok. Being March now, not too much of a confident feeling. Gonna have to go into upstate PA to jackpot.

WATCH'S are now out. Nws going with 4-6 for Berks. Seems reasonable. Judging by how far west the watch's extend, they aren't buying the real progressive models.

Sent from my HTC6535LVW using Tapatalk