I went back and checked all my saved images from AE, first scan the debris ball shows up is at that time, and it's SW of the dot for Joplin, just east of Iron Gates. And the next scan, 71 dbz shows up in the debris ball, which is something I've never seen before, that high dbz at least. I really think it's down to yards, maybe even feet, of whether this thing missed him or not.