Cincy12

7 minutes ago, vespasian70 said:

Awfully quiet in here considering we are under a Watch. Perhaps burnout? lol

12z NAM rolling out ...

Emotional roller coaster. I think Cincy is going to just miss out. Perhaps an over performer? 

8 minutes ago, buckeye said:

Rgem is a nice hit now ....lol

Well I guess we just need to sit back and see how “amped” it is. 

12 minutes ago, dilly84 said:

It means the GFS didnt handle it properly because it was supposed to mix with rain.

Same with even the 12z RGEM lol

Just sat down grabbed a beer and almost spit it out lmao 

I wouldn't call a 50 mile shift "set"? NWS will most likely pull some WSW's Northern counties because of this? 

Just now, JayPSU said:

Looks like the 18Z NAM caved.  

Not sure what you mean by caved? It was an over all good run? 

I'm not tossing until 00z tonight. Hoping for that south trend! 

Just now, dilly84 said:

Eh it's a change. I have some founders kbs as well but it's a special occasion beer. Usually I'm more of an ipa guy. Brewery in coshocton county is my favorite.  Wooly pig farm.

I'll have to try it! I'm a IPA guy. Kinda spoiled with our local breweries down here. Braxton revamp is my go to right now! 

Just now, Cincy12 said:

lmao I think its a porter 

Personally, I like eating my Reese's Cups not drinking them lol

Just now, buckeye said:

what's that? a strain of weed?

lmao I think its a porter 

1 minute ago, dilly84 said:

Does it take into account mixing? If not that's a great run for us.

I am assuming. Cincy metro, per the Ukie is showing 1.2+ worth of precip. 

Actually the UKmet appears to be a really good run for us? 

Just now, dilly84 said:

Seems like itd be a good track

Track is good. Looks like the cold is not there though 

Just now, buckeye said:

I'll gladly choke down some crow and you guys can bump troll me if this all turns around...just keeping it real.  My pessimism is only wrt the uk and euro which I've lost faith in.

JMA further south lol 

CMC more north. Puts the low at the OV 

Is it safe to safe that the models are under estimating the cold surface temps? 

Basically threading a needle. Weaker low, we can be in the central KY line. Stonger low we need to dig deeper into the south.. I would think the NW trends should kick in at least 25-50 miles with 12z's 

Those "ticks" are what give me nightmares come Friday night while i'll sleeping. Really don't want to deal with an ice storm. 

Although it is south. It appears to speed up a bit.

lol I was looking at the numbers and even brought up your location! I was thinking to myself, what am I missing here. Looks like a pretty decent hit. 

How does the Ukie handle sleet on the snow map? Is it listed as snow accumulation? 

2 minutes ago, zinski1990 said:

I didn't even notice a shift at all. I noticed though it showed more freezing rain which I'm thinking is something this storm will have but for some reason hasn't been talked about much

You don't talk about .5+ ice until you have to... 

Just now, KokomoWX said:

 

On to the next run. This would downright scary if this happened. 

Just now, buckeye said:

Seriously, can we ever NOT ride the edge??   Unreal.   50 miles south and we're gold.

Got to ride the line to cash in lol 50 miles is nothing 

Just now, dilly84 said:

Stronger than last night's. But may bring more rain into eastern Ohio. But looks like most of us will be in very heavy snow.

Haven't seen it. Assuming South Western Ohio still showing ice?