jrips27

Sheesh that’s a lot of rain

Naples gauge about to go into Moderate flooding 

Beginning, even

Eye is begging to show up on Key West radar

One to save for the record books 

Should have it in the next 10-20 minutes

NHC website appears to be offline momentarily

Mandatory viewing from Levi

I know we don’t focus on exact track this far out, but this has to be one of the most devastating hypothetical tracks ever put out by NHC

Hail in the eyewall

https://x.com/mikefischerwx/status/1843258778403377483?s=46

7:00 AM CDT Mon Oct 7
Location: 21.8°N 92.2°W
Moving: ESE at 8 mph
Min pressure: 945 mb
Max sustained: 125 mph

10:00 PM CDT Sun Oct 6
Location: 22.4°N 93.1°W
Moving: E at 7 mph
Min pressure: 977 mb
Max sustained: 90 mph

Definitely looks ahead of schedule

Pretty jarring

511 PM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

A Tropical Storm Warning means tropical storm-force winds are
expected somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
    - Atlanta

* WIND
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Strong Tropical Storm force
      wind
        - Peak Wind Forecast: 45-60 mph with gusts to 85 mph
        - Window for Tropical Storm force winds: early Friday morning
          until Friday afternoon

No east shift to my eye

The NHC intensity forecast now shows an intensity of 115 kt (Category 4) at
24 hours, which is mirrored by several of the regional hurricane
models and the SHIPS guidance.  It should be noted that additional
strengthening is possible beyond 24 hours before Helene makes
landfall Thursday evening.

Hey everyone! Just finally logged back in after lurking the past several days. I'm in downtown Atlanta where heavy rain looks like it's really going to start to pile up over the next few hours. Commute home back to the northern suburbs looks pretty miserable. Have tried to get the word out today that people need to be prepared for something possibly extraordinary.

Hard to imagine the rain totals NWS FFC is spitting out. There's going to be considerable urban flash flooding downtown as there are parking lots that flood when we get a heavy summer thunderstorm. 

Agree with most everyone on here that a little shift east would allow Atlanta to avoid the worst case scenario tomorrow night with winds.

Stay safe everyone!

https://x.com/lookner/status/1810214777286754638?s=46

https://x.com/nhc_atlantic/status/1810162221357707685?s=46

Got some lightning increasing in that northern eyewall. Recon just made a pass through, waiting on the data

Some hurricane force flight-level winds found well away from the center

Already running northeast of the 11am track

11pm EST update. Watches extended east