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Posts posted by TravisWx
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Probably a bit early, but calling this a massive bust for Southwest Michigan. I have about 5 inches measured, starting at about 2 PM, and now we’re dry slotted. We’ve been under a warning since 10 AM. Not a meteorologist, but just looking at the radar presentation throughout this event so far, it looks like a splotchy disorganized mess, and it has never gotten his act together. If you want to see how the storm was forecasted, look north of Toronto on radar currently, that’s how it was supposed to be here all day and through the night. I know it’s a bit cliché, but I have to believe the southern convection stole a lot of moisture and led to the splotchy precipitation throughout the event so far.
I agree. This will likely be a big bust for Presque Isle County as well. I’m sure they’ll be some bigger drifts as it is very windy. But overall accumulation is going to be far lower than what was forecast. You’re right, it does look like the main batch of organized moisture is already past us. Maybe a few inches of lake effect tomorrow and Sunday. I’d say by the end of the weekend, total accumulation for Rogers City will be around 6-8”
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Moisture appears to be winding down quickly. APX knocking down snow totals a bit.
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Already getting some lake enhancement in Rogers City due to the E/ESE wind. Started snowing around noon, winds really ramping up now.
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From APX. Topped off my gas can for the snowblower this evening. Locals already hitting the grocery stores heavy in anticipation of this weekend storm.- 2
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About 5" of concrete snow in Rogers City. Pressure bottomed at 979.5Mb at 1AM, according to my weather station.
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Intense snowfall right now in rogers city.
Pressure: 982mb
Temp: 30.6° -
Temps slowly drifting lower. Had some initial fluffy snow around 10:30am for a half hour. Then transitioned to light rain. Heavy band of snow knocking on the door now, should be here within an hour.
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Finally starting to see some snowfall in Rogers City as of 10:25AM
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2 minutes ago, Imneversatisfied said:
I might be wish casting but looks to me 12z runs are trending slp SE. Anyone confirm?
It does look like that precip moved SE on the 12z 3km NAM, a little more amped too for total snowfall. I don't know though. This winter storm is weird. APX still says almost nothing for snowfall. Definitely a nowcast system.
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Radar is starting to fill in around NE MI. Don't see any precip falling in Rogers City yet this morning. Current temp: 35 degrees, east wind 3-4 mph.
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From APX:
Looks like I won’t even have to break out the snowblower. Maybe 1-2” for Rogers City.
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APX with a WWA for my area
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It looks like this will be the first large winter storm for northeast lower MI...for now. I raked up the residual autumn leaves in my front yard around Xmas, first time ever. Haven't touched a snow shovel since last winter.
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Seems like a solid snow maker for Rogers City in NE lower MI. Already getting lake enhancement off Lake Huron.
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I have 996mb on my Tempest weather station in Rogers City, MI -
Started snowing here in Rogers City (35 miles north of Alpena) about 15 minutes ago.
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Np. You're just paying it forward. Don't forget to bump your orig post in about 24 hrs
Will do. I plan on posting images and video during/after the system.- 1
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23 minutes ago, RogueWaves said:
Yeah I meant to type northern lower peninsula.
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APX just upgraded headlines. Majority of the northern lower peninsula is under a blizzard warning.
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APX should be adjusting headlines momentarily.
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12z GFS still looking good for NE lower MI. I'll take it.
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gorgeous dog.
Thanks! Ended up with about 12” of concrete here in Rogers City.
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At least 10 inches of concrete snow on the ground right now. Still more coming down. Our dog seems to approve.
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Jan 11-13th Blizzard
in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Posted
About 6-8” in Rogers City with drifts. Very fluffy, so cleanup should be easy compared to this past Tuesday.