Streak

5 hours ago, Bubbler86 said:

12Z HRRR has quite a bit of snow making it to the LSV this afternoon

 

 

It’s partly sunny at the moment but around 1:15 this afternoon there were some flurries at the dog park at John Rudy. 

2 hours ago, Bubbler86 said:

We only got .25" and are still under 30" for the year.   Lots of drizzle so it is quite damp. 

Sorry to hear that. Hopefully we all see significant improvement this winter and next spring. 

2 hours ago, pawatch said:

47 degrees and foggy this morning.

Rain was definitely and under achiever yesterday.

Only about .71”  

CTP always seems to miss them forecasts.

River was forecasted to crest at over 12 feet. Now forecast to crest under 8 foot.  

Still fishing on the river smallies are biting.

Ready for some winter ❄️ weather.

A lot less rain than expected here, too; just a hair over .5” in the rain gauge this morning. Not too terribly unusual for my neighborhood, we almost always get less precip than forecast and less than surrounding areas, but I thought we were looking at a minimum of .75 this time. 

As of 10:45 am, it’s 38 degrees and the flurries have just become a flizzard here in East York. First snowflakes of the season — happy winter, everyone. 

45 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

GFS breaks up the hot stretch in 5 days.    In fact it only had 3 days above 90 at 18Z the entire 12Z run....only one in July (Fri).   Mid to upper 70's at 18Z 7 days from now. 

Those of you who keep detailed stats might be able to confirm or correct me if I’m wrong but I think it was summer of 2021 that there was a massive heat wave over much of the western and middle portions of the US, with unprecedented heat in the Pacific Northwest (and I believe in places like Wisconsin and Minnesota).

Here on the forum we kept dreading the heat’s inevitable expansion east, but it never really happened. We only had typical heat throughout the summer —some really hot days, to be sure— but nothing unexpected. 

Hopefully that will be the case this year, too. September is right around the corner. 

11 hours ago, Storm Clouds said:

I can confirm that was a legit storm that rolled through central York county. Honestly it was probably the best storm we’ve had all season here so far…only lasted like 5 minutes, but it packed a punch with heavy rain and probably a couple 30mph wind gusts. Recorded .71 in the gauge. 

Yes, my own rain gauge showed a hair over .50. Hopefully more to come next week. We still plan to be very frugal with water usage but the water pressure seemed a little better this morning than it has for the past couple months. 

3 hours ago, Bubbler86 said:

I noticed a few 7 day totals under 1" (or close to under) in Adams, York and Cumberland.  Storms definitely came alive farther East.   No Franklin totals on the map I saw. 

Yeah, we’ve had very little all week. Striking out so far. Hoping something comes our way soon. 

23 minutes ago, canderson said:

.03" so far today. Dry under any vegetation/trees. 

Same here in East York. A couple minutes of some very light rain and that was it. 

On a related note, I haven’t yet seen any fireflies here this season. Most years they’re here by early June and some years as early as late May. I’ve been loving the chilly overnight lows and the low dew points, but I’m sure that’s contributing to the delayed firefly season (or lightning bugs, as the kids around here call them). Pains me when anything abbreviates their season since they’re already in significant decline. 

3 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said:

2" of rain is much appreciated but today was nothing like what was forecast.

I don’t know how accurate the iweather.net digital radar is but it’s showing .65 for the past 24 hours and a total of 1.47 for the past 72, which is probably pretty accurate. We always seem to have lower rainfall totals than elsewhere in the LSV. 

Guess some of us will still have to keep our fingers crossed for more rain in the next few weeks. 

2 hours ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

It's always felt to me like modeled peak winds fail to live up to their billing in real life.  Am I off on this? 

I always worry about this but the more extreme winds don’t seem to come to fruition here and I’m grateful every single time.

But we do have some strong winds (in the 25 mph range) at times when it’s not in the forecast or mentioned at all, like what Bubbler mentioned upthread. Happens at least 3 or 4 times each spring. But thankfully, we haven’t experienced any 50-60 mph winds. 

On 3/15/2023 at 3:33 PM, Itstrainingtime said:

 

I'm riding the middle line on this - I don't want 70s either but yesterday I had to wear a light sweatshirt with my shorts. I'm ready for just the tee and shorts combo. I need 50s for that.   

Couldn’t agree more. Might as well get your Speedo out of the closet too; I’m rooting for mid 50s to low 60s. 

(Sorry, snowhounds. Wish you guys could get a foot of snow and a few weeks of cold to maintain it while my neighborhood has upper 50s and sunshine.)

2 hours ago, Wmsptwx said:

lol now it will be raw, rainy and windy until June.

I’m ready for spring at this point and I can do without the “raw” and “windy”. We really do need the rain around here, though. I just hope, come April, we continue to see temps more on the milder side and that “extreme” this year means things like thunderstorms, rather than life-threatening events.

Gorgeous, sunny, 63 right now with a light breeze. Was 56 and quite a bit more windy when we first went outside around 12:25, so it feels like a massive increase in temperature over the past 35 minutes or so.  

7 hours ago, TheDreamTraveler said:

Didn't we also have a small snowstorm in late March early April a couple years ago as well? Even though that was a small accumulation event it was still wild seeing it snow that late into the season.

We had snow here on April 22, 2021. Didn’t accumulate on paved surfaces but my yard had maybe an inch (a bit more than a dusting, in any case) of snow before it was all over.

1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said:

It was a chilly low 50's day.  Wind was not allowing it to feel too nice.  MDT's 5 min temps show they made 50 or 49. 

Amazing how much difference the wind and cloud cover can make, even with the temp up to 50. 

1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said:

I don’t expect any accumulations south of the MD Line (precip starts as rain or sleet there). Between the MD Line and PA Turnpike (east of Route 15), a coating to 1” is most likely with 1-3” expected north of the Turnpike and west of Route 15..

About what I’m expecting. I’ve been luckier than most; I’ve woken up 2 or 3 times to a nice dusting of snow (coating to 1 inch or so), and have had a few opportunities to enjoy some flurries here. Probably still unsatisfying to most winter-weather fans, but not quite the complete shutout some of you have experienced. 

This is exactly 7 years ago today, from the Jan 2016 storm. I don’t think I captured it as well as I’d hoped but the left of the photo is the wall of snow after shoveling the driveway and the top of the snow was a few inches above his head. 

As of 12 noon, approximately an inch of snow on the ground. Been flurrying on and off all morning, anything from barely-there, blink-and-you’ll-miss-it to a bit heavier but for the moment it’s legit snowing. 

6 hours ago, Ruin said:

im in south central PA and the start of fall went from like 86 the day before down to the 60s for the next 2 weeks. we had people at work complaining how it sucked going from really hot weather to chilly out of no where. Mind you these were older people. it even then became even colder down to the 50s for a good week when we should of been in the low 70s.

It seemed colder to me too, in part because we somewhat abruptly shifted to cooler temps around the 20th or 21st of September, as opposed to having the summer-like temps extend well into October. Our September temps for the last 10 days or so (and extending into early October) were normal to below normal.

We had milder periods throughout October and November but if memory serves those were, again, interspersed throughout a baseline of normal and occasionally below-normal temps (in contrast to the “new normal” well above average temps of recent years)

December was so busy it went by in a blur but my very imperfect memory suggests it was *close* to normal but on the milder side throughout most of the month. So fall (IMBY at least) seemed to be on the cooler side this year but December seemed more a continuation of fall than the start of met winter. 

ETA: Not to stray too far off topic, I’m looking forward to the end of next week and the possibility (finally!) of seeing some snowy weather. If we get a solid couple weeks of opportunities and some hits out of those, and maybe a couple more weeks with enough cold to maintain some snowpack, I’ll be looking at this as a decent winter.

3 hours ago, TheDreamTraveler said:

True. There's some people who see warmth as a positive thing. As much as I love big winter storms I do love it when we get really warm days like the past few we've had. I'm a big fan of both lol

Same, my ideal winter has plenty of snow but with a lot of thaws and warm spells mixed in.

I probably say it too much, but any day I can be outside with the dog for at least an hour is a good day for me. And if I only need jeans and a hoodie (or lately, jeans/t shirt), I’m not complaining. 

Just now, canderson said:

Our cat passed away this morning.  This is brutal. 

Oh man, SO sorry to hear that. Had a recent bereavement here too and while it’s soul-crushing whenever it happens, it hits particularly hard around the holidays. This internet stranger is feeling your loss. 

As of about 10:10 it was snowing here - not just flurrying but snowing. Seems to be slowing down quite a bit now and there’s nothing sticking yet, but hoping we end with at least a dusting. Very happy either way with the mood flakes. 

Surfaces (including trees, etc) still have a solid coat of ice here and there’s a slushy freezing rain falling right now. WU app says it’s 33 degrees; nearby ambient stations are at 32.5 and 32.7. I’d love to get some snow with this, but I know better than to expect it. 

Edited to say, untreated surfaces are still coated with ice. As far as I know, roads are okay but I’m still glad to be working from home today.

39, partly-to-mostly sunny and pretty mild on sporadic moments when the wind is calm. But so far we’re getting consistent canderson wind gusts that make it feel significantly colder. My point and click Weather Underground app says we’re getting wind gusts up to 27 mph and that it feels like it’s 30 out. That  sounds/feels about right. 

As of 12:39 we’re getting some precip here - not quite flurries but not rain, either - something frozen or partially frozen, and very tiny “drops”, like frozen drizzle. I don’t think it quite counts as freezing rain, but it looks and feels very wintry out right now. 

Edit: coming down much steadier now, and with some legit flurries mixed in. I was expecting the precip to start at 2 and for us to have nothing but rain. My dog has a vet appointment today at 3 so I’m really hoping this doesn’t turn out to be an overperformer. 

8pm, very balmy 70 right now and 67.1 dewpoint. Lots of crickets, too; feels and sounds like a late-summer night.