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RDM

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Posts posted by RDM

  1. 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

    2 days of a N flow prior get negated once the flow reverses fwiw. We aren't talking 3rd week of January molasses arctic hp stuck at the surface. 

    Yes - and the SST's off the OBX are still very warm.  Would not take much of a flow from he SE or SSE to scour the CAD that's being referenced.  We've done that dance too many times.  

  2. 1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

    Here's the thing I see...can't tell what's going to happen, but even if we don't get the solution we want it seems like all models except the GFS have a stronger cold air push.  Maybe that'll be something that becomes better on the GFS as we move along?

    Thanks for doing the needy Randy...   

  3. 7 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

    Low of 28. Surprisingly clear this morning. Hope the clouds roll in soon to help mitigate this midday-on-Mercury February sun angle.

    Yup - 27F/20dp here now, but nearly cloudless sky.  Need some overcast soon.  Also surprised it's so clear out.  From the looks of the current radar composite, the inbound precip does not look promising...  

  4. 43 minutes ago, IronTy said:

    Lmao of course somebody built a homemade one.  I wouldn't worry about cold....build one big enough and "it'll make its own cold air".  Weenie rule #14.

    Whatever happened to the guy down by Richmond?  Think his ID was MidlothianSnowmaker?  He used to setup his own snowmaking machine in the his backyard whenever it would get cold enough and let it run constantly.  Would build a pile and then see how late into the Summer it would last.  He routinely had snow in late May, and perhaps later.  Haven't seen him posting for a few years.  He knew ALL about homemade snowmaking equipment. 

    • Like 1
  5. Those of us in the DELMARVA/MA are not alone with our snow woes and holes.  Am currently on the outskirts of Tokyo between Tokyo and Chiba - at the N end of Tokyo Bay.  Amongst a lot of hoopla and banter that may bump our banter to second place the Japanese news has gone absolutely bonkers about what has become a non-even for the immediate Tokyo downtown area.  

    Yesterday event they issued dire travel warnings, which continued this morning.  However, in a recant that rival's JB's best step-backs, they've revised the snow forecast as the warmer layers of the intensifying ULL move in and displace what little cold layers were in place.  

    On the western edges of metropolitan Tokyo there is a few inches of snow with slush on the streets that's causing mayhem akin to our area.  Compounded the hilly terrain, there's an untold number of crashes where just one misstep on the extremely narrow streets can and is creating gridlock. 

    Haven't dared to check the grocery stores to seek the bare shelves empty of bread, eggs, milk and...  most importantly of all, rice.  But all the hoopla in the news is something to see/hear.  Their on-the-scenes reporting with measurements of snow depths to the fraction of a cm with a slant stick is more dramatic than the best TWC can muster.  However, the news in Japan is still held is high esteem for it's unflawed accuracy - which compounds their efforts to flounder through the allocated airtime with a mainly rain event.  There were even pro-Mets on the air talking about the infamous 'warm nose layer'.  Heading out now in our non-snow tire equipped rental to tackle our chances with the....   rain!  

     

     

    • Like 2
  6. Been keeping tabs on the forum from afar in Japan, albeit with a shared feeling of despair.  Returning to the WMA Saturday.  Anything on Sunday would be the best welcome home present ever (since 09/10 after returning from Thailand), even snow TV would be fine.  

    BTW - the big snow dumps a month ago on Honshu largely evaporated the last couple of weeks.  Even Fuji is nearly void of snow now except in the deeper gullies.  Very unusual for this time of year.  The attached picture was taken Monday Japan time from the Shinkansen.  

     

    Fujisan 2023 02 06.jpeg

    • Like 16
  7. That game in Buffalo is what football is all about.  Cold, snow - open air.  Hats off to Buffalo for building and preserving the open stadium environment, despite being in the center of lake effect snow country.  Go Bengals!   

    • Like 1
  8. 1 hour ago, George BM said:

    It's a good thing that you've experienced a lot of extreme weather over your six decades on this planet. :P

    Imagine our luck when you figure out how to use all of that accumulated jojo to give us a 1978 Midwest style triple phaser... or a snow squall with 3 foot visibilities... or a 105-110F heatwave w/ 80+F dewpoints that bring us a super derecho.

    Train well my good friend.  :thumbsup:

    Haha - Thanks much.  I'll try to avoid thinking about the monsoon and tropical downpours in India and Thailand, and focus more on that 3 foot rouge snow wave on the glacier in Hinterux, AU, or the 3 meter onslaught in Saas Fee, CH.  Heck, if jojo, mojo and/or willpower is ALL we needed to muster something more than a trace, the cumulative frustration in the forum would likely thrust the Northern Hemisphere into a new Ice Age.  

    • Haha 1
  9. You can all take this to the bank... even Ji.  It WILL snow in the MA region sometime in the next 3 weeks.  I'm heading to Japan for a family wedding and just know mother nature is going to unleash her fury while I'm gone.  Hope to take a side trip to the mountains to get a snow fix while in Japan.  Although, snow is in the forecast for Tokyo later this week.  Hope you are all out doing Jebwalks soon...   

    • Like 3
  10. 5 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

    I watch NHK (Japanese PBS)  a decent bit and their snowfall is well below normal nationwide this year.

    Yes - my wife and I watch NHK all the time.  The normal trade winds that bring in the moisture of the sea of Japan onto Honshu are out of whack this year.  Fuji san is abnormally low on snow too (climbed and skied Fuji long ago - great experience).  Heading to Japan in a couple weeks for a family wedding.  Had hoped to visit some of the sights in the mountains (Zao, or Nagoya) to get at least a temporary snow-fix, but not sure we'll do that this time.  

    • Like 7
  11. 6 hours ago, Terpeast said:

    Pretty spot on. The MA has never done “complicated” well as far as I can remember. 

    In fact, anytime a forecaster referred to an incoming system as “complex” - that’s an automatic red flag imo. 

    Yup - lived here since 85 apart from some excursions overseas for the Gov.  In an environment where everything has to come together just right to succeed, if any one factor is off by a smidge then my antenna go to full gain.  

    However, the temptation to hope, pray and gravel at the feet of the weather gods is  irresistible.  The hope is eternal, no matter how many times Lucy pulls the ball away at the last minute, we're still "there" hoping the "next one" will be "THE one" that thwarts the model indecisiveness and allows sheer will-power of the masses to violate the laws of physics and achieve the desired outcome!  Be it a MECS, SECS, HECS or the elusive BECS, we are as a group fixated on the dream of what may be, verses the more typical reality of what will be...   Perhaps the definition of blind trust and faith in eternal optimism.  

    • Like 2
  12. Was down to 6 here NW of Vienna.  Back up to a balmy 7 now.  

    Went to the 10:00 service at the National Cathedral last night.  Got there early and stood in line outside for about 30 mins.  Was a bit nippy.  Weren't many people there until about 10 mins before the doors opened when they came from everywhere all at once.  Was a nice event.  Tried foot warmers for the first time in my 60+ year life.  Those things are awesome - more than compensated for the poor insulation of dress shoes.  

    • Like 2
  13. 26 minutes ago, IronTy said:

    Went on a 2mi hike.  WeatherBug says -7F with wind-chill of -34F but I'm not sure I buy it's that cold.  Out of the wind you really don't feel cold at all.  But hiking into the wind on the ridgetop I could see getting frostbite relatively quickly without protection for your face.  Further down the mountain 200-300 vertical feet there's hardly any wind so it isn't bad.  I gotta cut some more wood for the stove and cook up some sausage now.   

    PXL_20221223_165437815_copy_1008x567_1.jpg

    PXL_20221223_172109040_copy_567x1008.jpg

    Nice setup with your "tent".  Almost looks like an yurt with the short side walls.  Enjoy the experience.  I love getting out in extreme weather but my better-half would want nothing to do with your excursion.  Enjoy.  

    • Like 1
  14. 1 hour ago, gymengineer said:

    92,000+ customers without power in VA now and rapidly climbing. 

    Curious which source you use?  From the DOM web site, they currently have 77,700+ customers out.   Albeit DOM does not provide service to all of VA.  They had about 2K out as of 0800.  

    For those who don't have it already, here's the link to the DOM outage map

    https://outagemap.dominionenergy.com/external/default.html   

     

     

  15. 1 hour ago, Roger Ramjet said:

     

    I have a log home in the very northwestern part of Loudoun County (between the hills) off of Harpers Ferry Road at 725'. My great room ceiling is 24' high and I heat with my wood stove whenever possible. My wall of windows faces west and I will get slammed with this frontal passage and will probably loose power - happens often. 75% of what I burn is black locust. When it gets cold, I really have to crank the wood stove to keep my propane furnace from coming on.

     

      Roger - (my brother's name)  Sounds like a great setup you have there with your cabin etc.  On the black locust, I burn the same.  Lost several black locust in a wind storm about 10 years ago.  Always thought oak and walnut were hard to beat, but after burning locust now over many seasons it's hard to beat.  Burns hot and for a long time with minimal popping.  Of course it was dried for several years after being split, so it is extremely dry and dare I say provides about the ideal combination of burn rate, heat and minimal smoke..  Its hardness is at the top of the scale for N. American trees, which contributes to its high btu output.  

        Best of luck if you do lose power.  We will likely lose it too.  We're only 1/2 mile outside the Vienna city limits, but our power goes out a lot when it gets windy.  The saturated ground and forecast winds tomorrow are probably going to inflict some wide-spread outages.  

  16.   The potential for a flash freeze with even a few flurries around DC tomorrow could cause mayhem.  

       We had a serious flash freeze in Ohio (and other states in the midwest) during the blizzard of 78.  The temp drop was 30+ F over an hour or so ivo our house.  Coupled with wind gusts in excess of 65mph, the flash freeze made travel nearly impossible.  Even where the wind blew the snow clear, the combination of wind and ice made plowing and travel impossible.  We won't have the 12+ inches of snow around here, but just a dusting could be enough.

      So lets project the potential impact across the WDC metropolitan area on the day before Christmas Eve?  Tomorrow is going to be a day to stay home...  

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