winterymix

1 hour ago, CAPE said:

The recent trends across guidance are in the wrong direction. The wave(s) of interest will form along/ahead of the front, but recent runs of the globals are delaying the progression of the trough a bit, so the low pressure track is further west, thus warmer aloft and at the surface for much of our region while precip is falling as the cold is delayed. The general outcome that had been advertised before the more recent 'trend to better' was almost all of the precip falling ahead of the front in the warm sector. Lets see where we go from here. In general the further NW, the better if you want to see some significant snow.

Great explanos.   Science without emotion.  You deserve daffodils now and snow next winter...

Guessing that 60 years ago, the ground would be slushy-white all the way to the NW fringes of the cities.  Now we are too warm for a car-topper.   So...brown wet ground and leafless trees.  

8 hours ago, Ji said:

8 hours ago, Always in Zugzwang said:

That has been pretty clear for some time now. My point about post content stands and I'll leave it at that. 

Lol I've hardly posted the past few weeks but okay. Feel free to use ignore if you don't like my great insight

If bull c*** = accumulating snow, I'd be pouring $5 a gal. gas into the snowblower.

6 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB 12Z EURO

Looks realistic.   Plus, experience reminds  us that freezing rain has a big impact when the qpf  is light and almost freezing drizzle, no wind, and late night just before dawn.   Tho...the map above is for 0Z.

3 hours ago, Kay said:

snow showers over the bay or radar weirdness?

Go to weather.gov.  satellite.   NE US.      click  on night time microphysics.   animate

Visibility up to 6 miles.

3 minutes ago, winterymix said:

 

Radar update:  back edge coming...like a grouchy cat that turns to show the humans its cat rumpuss.

Just now, winterymix said:

I've had snow OCD for five decades or so.  Sunrise cold, cold, unexpected 1/2" +/- is quite an unexpected treat.  A rare positive forecast bust (sure LWX advertises this now but not so much during SB evening.)   Just for the record, LWX is awesome.

8 minutes ago, winterymix said:

 

COD radar site shows this little snowblob means biz.   Can confirm 1/2 mile visibility for  20 minutes.   Primary roads here are white, no traffic at this moment.   Still cranking at 6:54 am.

2 minutes ago, winterymix said:

need more coffee...

Just now, winterymix said:

Precise obs:  1 +/- miles east of Reisterstown:  light snow, immediate stickage, very reduced visability.

total for two day:  about 3.5".  Cold AF.   Somewhat shocking how visibility is down to about 1/2 mile.

2 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Got to throw out the obligatory it’s too warm for snow. But then we get 2-4” anyway and people act surprised. 

I'm Reisterstown-Glyndon.  If we get 1 1/2', you get 3"

The NAM places two realistic patches of 2 to 3. 

Could be grassy areas only with these warm roads.

Just now, stormtracker said:

wintrymix....what are you drinking?  Normally I wait until after at least 10am

Yo!  Stormtacker!   Sober as a gravedigger.     46 days til spring.   Time to plant your plants; legal in n DC.

Just now, winterymix said:

We specialize in warm-wet and cold-dry.  This winter in one word:   freaking-boring-out-the-snow-weenie-wazoo.

 

 

 

TEASER.   Light, fluffy pre-event flurries in calm air.   Cold AF.  Glyndon-Reisterstown.

1 minute ago, H2O said:

The unshakable west track as of now is bad for coastal plain. Low level CAD might stick around longer west of the bay but agree that that column will roast quickly and a lot of that “snow” on those maps will be sleet/ice. 
 

This has gone from decent front end to it will do frozen for a little bit

What I said...

3 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Say whut?

The 500 mb low slows down and deepens near Charlottesville.  If it slows enough the front end snow could be a quick heavy 3 to 6 followed by 12 hours of rain.

Operational GFS is typical of warm-wet pattern.  Front end 3-6hrs snow and then the system rides the Bay with everybody-to rain for all of the sub-forum.

"The Sync" isn't working for mid-lantic

Monday, GFS 500 Z is wild and white.  Good patter, re-occurring toricity near us.  Peiodic chilly white falls of 2 to 4.   Stable reoccurring pattern.

I give this winter a B-/B for weeks of snow on lawns and multiple swowblower uses.  A quick look of GFS snowpack

for the next 16 days is tawdry, accums being 100s of miles from here.   No need to give up but assume 5% to 15% mayyy...be.

Time to plan for the start of hothouse seedlings.

9 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Good news is the weather don’t care what any of us think 

My yard has been partially or fully snow covered for the better part of a month.   Really OK.

Light wet fatties on a Friday night in Reisterstown

3 hours ago, losetoa6 said:

A friend sent me this . Maryland is dead last in the country in In person learning.  Only 8.4 % Just horrific.  Thank goodness my 2 girls are in Carroll county and have been back hybrid for a while along with sports . Rest of Md needs to get there stuff together to say it politely.  It's a darn shame. The rest of the world and majority of the country has found a way to adapt to covid but not Maryland.  

Lil blurred but u get the idea . Dead freakin last 

 

 

   Staying away from anyone with COVID  is JOB ONE.   Maryland is smart for the most part.

39.474739.    -76.797470