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Deck Pic

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Everything posted by Deck Pic

  1. Post 135 or 138 when you get to it. This is really a crushing for Winchester > Ctown > Westminster
  2. This storm is kind of simple for the global models. So I think some people will issue determinative forecasts too early.
  3. This is the stuff our dreams are made of. Time to close.
  4. I already hate this storm. Liking snow and living in DC is such a destructive act of masochism.
  5. I hope the hell not. You should be fine unless this thing passes over Fredericksburg
  6. Can't wait for Saturday afternoon's 43/34 as I await precip onset.
  7. Warn your patreoner's about temps of 31-32 and maybe mixing even in Loudoun.
  8. GEFS is pretty torchy at the surface. Tho I'm sure some members have us at sunny and 50
  9. Obviously all the juggernauts stick out, but the cautionary tales are there too 1/26/15 was only 1-2" for DC and IIRC 2/8/97 was warmish and mixy in the city
  10. To me it depends how far southeast of the primary the secondary low develops...If it's a center jump, that's an A to me.
  11. The 875 - 1000mb layer is pretty concerning for east of 95. This is probably all or 90% snow for DC. But more movement NW will make it even dicier
  12. There always is until there isn't. It's silly to throw out numbers for a D5 storm. But it could be a 6-10"+ event for the interior. We get a lot more modeled snow than actual snow.
  13. Climo says 3-6" east of the fall line. If it doesn't completely fall apart.
  14. I'd like to be pretty far inland for this one.
  15. I'd take 04-05 and 06-07 in a heartbeat. We never thought the PV would leave Alaska in 2006
  16. it's not that warm at the surface..maybe mid 30s. It's not that hard to get 2-3" of snow in Leesburg after a changeover on January 4th. You did it like 24 times in 2012-13
  17. We're getting snow the first week of january
  18. It's a snowstorm. January 2nd could be too.
  19. Not delayed. Was just pointing out the silliness of analyzing Jan 9th model output on 12/24.
  20. Do we do well at anafrontal snow? Anyway, Congrats Moco
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