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Deck Pic

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Everything posted by Deck Pic

  1. Deck Pic
    snow overruns the area around 8-9 am tuesday as the coastal gets going. 1 pm temp of 27 at DCA
  2. Deck Pic
    I like that it's mid to upper 20s on Tuesday morning. The airmass is solid
  3. Deck Pic
    snowshoe picked up 15" today? they're killing it...I know Canaan is up to 65" on the season edit - nah..the numbers are wacky. http://data.canaanmtnsnow.com/
  4. Deck Pic
    this is a good weekend to ski in MD and WV. snow falling. 20s..
  5. Deck Pic
    It'll be another 15-20 min before euro is in range. Around 1:20
  6. Deck Pic
    i thought models were good in nino...didn't the Euro have the 2016 HECS for like 30 straight runs?
  7. Deck Pic
    i dont know the algo that pivotal uses. SV can be wonky, but its 10:1 maps usually mirror Wxbell, just with graphics from the mesozoic era.
  8. Deck Pic
    Not much happens after this, but still. It's a pretty sexy panel. The rate of the pressure drop is absurd. I love the euro sometimes lol
  9. Deck Pic
    There are always risks when the reinforcing air mass lags behind. But it's nice to have cold air hanging around.
  10. Deck Pic
    How often do we get a 958 mb low over Quebec City..cause thats what this run does lol
  11. Deck Pic
    BANG It does blow up a little too late. To the extent there is some transfer, we want it to be further south
  12. Deck Pic
    is it me or is this euro run slow af tonight
  13. Deck Pic
    It doesnt get to day 6 in 15 minutes lol or even 30....I'm at 102
  14. Deck Pic
    The one at hour 312? lolz
  15. Deck Pic
    I don't think it's going to be clear for a few more days. The GFS isn't really skilled at six days, especially with details. The fact that it has a storm is enough for me. I know models keep improving, but plenty of storms where it's clueless within 72 hours. TBH, i just like the idea of legit cold air and seeing what happens. I'm done with storms where it's 41 in montreal as the storm approaches
  16. Deck Pic
    They're the Commanders dude...It's been 4 years
  17. Deck Pic
    true, but then it kind of comes down to expectations. And understandably yours are generally higher given you average 200%+ of my climo. I'm not really a HECS chaser. I'd lock in a 3-4" front end thump just to get on the board
  18. Deck Pic
    Hopefully there will be changes over the next 11 days.
  19. Deck Pic
    I think people were a little too hard on you given how most of us don't use models the way they're supposed to be utilized - even though we generally know better When we're sitting here at a week out analyzing discrete mesoscale features (like rain/snow lines) using a singular global model (myself included), I think we need to be a little more tolerant of people who don't indulge in this stuff.
  20. Deck Pic
    I'm guessing they will be 50% longer than they need to be
  21. Deck Pic
    re euro ens mean. High temps are low 30s the afternoon prior to the storm which I would consider a pretty big deviation from climo at this range.
  22. Deck Pic
    I think there are a couple positives already (even for the cities), though I still think it's possible the op loses the storm or more likely there are moderate to significant timing changes. Broadly speaking, I like the idea of a front end thump for the cities, even if the track is garbage. These are typically 2-5" events. Also, maybe this time the mid levels hold and Parr's ridge cleans up. There are a number of scenarios that are better for me and you than this past weekend.
  23. Deck Pic
    congrats us. Another week of modelizing.
  24. Deck Pic
    Nice. 6-12"+ event that starts in exactly one week. Would be a total sweat for the cities with mixing. But more positives than last event.
  25. Deck Pic
    3k NAM....Charles Town Casino at Noon under yellows. Go chase people.
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