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Deck Pic

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Everything posted by Deck Pic

  1. Deck Pic
    I edited my post...I somehow switched to the RRFS and thought I was looking at the GFS. Too many tabs lol
  2. Deck Pic
    Looks like maybe even earlier Midnight to 6 am tonight : 0.5"-1" Then Lull Then resumes around 1 pm and snows periodically until 3 am - but with some lulls : 2-3" End total 2-4" That said, I doubt it has the timing and meso features correct, EDIT - I was looking at the RRFS at the end for totals lol..corrected above
  3. Deck Pic
    not concerned
  4. Deck Pic
    It Rapid Refresh...It incorporates the NAM and some other short terms. I think it's mostly meant for convection. A met probably knows more.
  5. Deck Pic
    Have they run the 1.33 km NAM over the mid atlantic. Often they'll do it if there is a storm.
  6. Deck Pic
    This event reminds me a little of 2/1-2/13. Though, this should be better. Snow showers fell periodically over a 2 day period with temps below freezing. Sometimes moderate. Only ended up with 1", but it was nice to have snow in the air for a lot of the time.
  7. Deck Pic
    What does the SUNY MM5 show?
  8. Deck Pic
    Yeah...this
  9. Deck Pic
    Yeah. It’s kind of wacky. Moved up and over early. I’m tempted to toss it.
  10. Deck Pic
    3k is nice. It has 2-3” for many already by midnight tomorrow. forecasting and timing all these pulses will be tricky.
  11. Deck Pic
    Latest National Blend. 18z. Almost everyone in the 2-4” contour. .
  12. Deck Pic
    Sort of. 3k NAM might give us a better idea. Also HRRR this evening. And maybe some other short range products. Hopefully RGEM gives us 6-8” (not happening)
  13. Deck Pic
    18z HRRR has 1” in DC before the main slug of precip moves in at midnight tomorrow night. Though it looks like tomorrow afternoon might be more of an issue than overnight tonight.
  14. Deck Pic
    Would you buy, sell or hold 2.5” in your backyard. I’m between a sell and hold.
  15. Deck Pic
    This event is quite a bit more disorganized than most of ours. hopefully the mesos will help us hone in on the details including banding We’re obv not getting 0.3” evenly distributed over 10 hours.
  16. Deck Pic
    I would say at this point there is more upside than downside. I think the chances of a widespread 3-5" event are better than the chances of <1"
  17. Deck Pic
    Here's 10:1
  18. Deck Pic
    I'm gonna call it a night. And not worry about this storm until late tomorrow. see ya in 45 minutes
  19. Deck Pic
    moar please
  20. Deck Pic
    0z Canadian and 4z NBM.....Even though it runs every hour, I don't know how quickly it digests new data. Currently looks a lot like the 0z Ukie
  21. Deck Pic
    As I did the last time you posted this, I'm pretending the numbers are inches
  22. Deck Pic
    yup..Best thing Randy could have done. Manifesting this event was our only real option left.
  23. Deck Pic
    well less than 90%. Why would someone give up on something like 4-5 days out?
  24. Deck Pic
    There's a button at the bottom of the posts where you can go to the previous page.
  25. Deck Pic
    2.5" imby, over 2.5" would be awesome. 1.25"-2.5" would be a bit of a bummer but still fun. Anything under an inch is unacceptable
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