Jump to content

Deck Pic

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    27,095

  • Joined

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Deck Pic

  1. Deck Pic
    yeah...It hints at coastal influence toward the morning when it cuts off
  2. Deck Pic
    I wouldn't take it too seriously, but I also don't think it will snow until midday tomorrow. This evening should be fun. I'm focused on that for now.
  3. Deck Pic
    Latest HRRR - snow end by 1-2 am. That makes more sense, but it isn't very reliable outside of a few hours.
  4. Deck Pic
    short range Models are implying a lull mid afternoon for some of us, but I think it snows straight through
  5. Deck Pic
    Long event on euro. Doesn't end until 11 am-ish
  6. Deck Pic
    29/25, -SN Sticking nicely
  7. Deck Pic
    30/9, Light Snow
  8. Deck Pic
    you're young dude. that's not a pro move as a storm is moving in.
  9. Deck Pic
    30/4. Curious about radar to the southwest and whether it's hitting the ground. Is this storm mode
  10. Deck Pic
    It's tasty. An improvement over 18z but pretty similar
  11. Deck Pic
    30/4 There are some returns close-ish ....i wonder if it's making it to the ground
  12. Deck Pic
    It's not that bad...
  13. Deck Pic
    DCA flirts with sleet for a couple hours early Tuesday morning. There's a very slight warm nose at 925 mb. It's nothing to worry about...storm could even be over by then
  14. Deck Pic
    Cause it gives us 6" of snow Not saying people should use the 12k from 60-84, but 3k cuts off at 60. Also we're degenerates and we love models.
  15. Deck Pic
    probably deciding where to put the wsw and where the wwa....I think they should go WWA except N/NE MD
  16. Deck Pic
    yeah...3k is in line with the others....
  17. Deck Pic
    I believe they only run it here when there is a storm. Usually it's for fire. And we dont burn. https://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/model-guidance-model-parameter.php?group=Model Guidance&model=FIREWX&area=CONUS-AK&ps=area#
  18. Deck Pic
    So NCEP ran the 1.33km Nam over our area at 0z. It only goes to 36 and it's still snowing when it cuts off ETA - the contour over DC and NW of there is 0.25" - 0.50". You can see the little stripe of 0.5"+ over Catoctins
  19. Deck Pic
    nobody should ever say or post the words "42 Hour HRRR". These super mesos run every hour and are meant for shorter term. I wouldn't sweat it too much right now other than what it might show overnight.
  20. Deck Pic
    0z NBM is holding steady. I assume the 0z NAM will either come back to earth or show a sleet storm for I-95
  21. Deck Pic
  22. Deck Pic
    If we had a 20-30" winter last year, we'd probably still follow this closely, but without the desperation
  23. Deck Pic
    Rap/Ruc isn't exactly the greatest model at this point, but it does "beat" the HRRR sometimes close in. I wouldn't rely on it, but I think it's worth looking at
  24. Deck Pic
  25. Deck Pic
    Snow is for closers only. Let's get it done.
×
×
  • Create New...