And thats only if the CAD is eroded which is insanely difficult to model. 2m temps are already riding that 31-33° range at that time for most of the metro.
Afternoon discussion from KFFC. Its long so I'll just post the link.
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=FFC&issuedby=FFC&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1
Anyone know verification scores of the HRRR at its end point of runs? Been a minute since I studied that model's scores. Storm will be coming into our playing field on the 18z.