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jhamps10

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Everything posted by jhamps10

  1. Agreed, I'm not saying prep for major storm at this point but need to keep a close eye because this and what the 12z euro shows are similar.
  2. Actually as it is that is disastrous, there's a lot of freezing rain that tropical tidbits doesn't show, I'm in my iPhone so I can't post the pic but pivotal weather shows freezing rain amounts of over 1" for most of the metroplex.. That would be a major disaster here, and let's be honest, would risk the Cowboys game from happening Sunday (IF the model verifies of course) but we are a far far ways out on this, but I would expect the nws to mention this in the afd
  3. Actually looking at qpf that's a LOT of ice here in DFW, a good 1.5-2" of qpf.. I imagine some of this is sleet but still a lot of freezing rain too.. Very well could bring power outages and the like on this run
  4. First look at Gfs, it's going to be very very icy for a good chunk of Texas, SLAMS Arkansas though
  5. Yeah.. The para Gfs is a LOT of sleet though... Cobblestone ice 2.0 probably..
  6. 18z GFS would make for an icy Saturday morning via an overrunning situation just se of DFW before slamming Louisiana and Arkansas with ice. If we blended the GFS and euro looks like dfw is near the sweet spot. I'd keep an eye on it over the next few days.
  7. ^ that is VERY close, closer than I thought really, worth close watching over the next few days
  8. The GFS today is saying nope, keep dreaming.. But then again it lost yesterday for a while too so who knows what will happen. I think we need some help but it could happen, I'm still thinking Oklahoma/KS/ar right now, but it's still watchable
  9. Well Gfs says adios winter thoughts for now.. Does keep the active pattern going tho.. Maybe la nina is breaking down.. Glad to have a system to look at tho
  10. Maybe so, I still think that this one may be more an Oklahoma Icestorm, but it could thread the needle.. Moisture vs the cold air just like most winter setups can be here lol
  11. Yeah I agree, models show a slim chance next weekend in fact, maybe more likely for Oklahoma and Arkansas but we will see
  12. So, raise your hand if your commute home took more than an hour more than it should have.... *raises hands* seriously, we can't even handle a dusting of snow in ft worth.... Seesh...
  13. Looking ahead, I'm thinking Next Weekend could be something to watch for possible winter potential.. I'm thinking more Oklahoma than Texas right now, as the models aren't wanting to have the cold air this far south, however it's something to keep an eye on. At least the models show activity instead of dryness
  14. heh, exactly what I was thinking, this matches up with the snow burst from last winter already for Ft Worth. That one was weird, you could literally see the snowcover from Parker county from my office downtown, yet here in the city barely a dusting
  15. Looks like Bridges and overpasses are starting to get slick, (Or people are taking no chances) but traffic is crawling on the 7th street bridge here in Ft Worth
  16. it's coming down at a decent clip now in downtown Ft Worth... it's no "flurries" like the news said lol... it's sticking to the sides of bridges crossing the trinity river
  17. Had flakes when I was walking out the door in SW Arlington, drove through a decent sized burst on 20 near the East loop 820 merge.. NBC5 is saying that this is Lake Effect off of Lake Grapevine... Not sure I'm buying that but okay whatever. Getting some light flurries now at my office in Downtown Ft Worth, hard to tell since I'm 33 stories up
  18. I think the Euro was like oh hey, people are talking about this now... lets throw a big ol wrench into this sucker... anything can happen still at this point. yesterday the GFS was saying nothing but cold for DFW so it's all in the trends.. Not throwing a towel or sounding alarms at this point, just watch and see.
  19. It's probably sleet and snow mixed... That's what I was thinking through my head... Cobblestone ice 2.0 Possibly.. Too soon to say for sure
  20. 12Z GFS showing what would be a VERY dicey commute home WED night in the metroplex, with freezing rain/sleet line cutting across DFW with a long lasting winter event from Wed night through Friday morning for a good chunk of North/Central TX into Southern AR and LA
  21. pattern looks good, I'm not going to get excited until next week comes to be safe, I like how FWD worded this in the FD this morning
  22. The fact that it keeps coming back and closer will have to start raising some eyebrows if it stays over the next few runs... This setup is perfect for classic north Texas overrunning ice/snow.. Still way too far to throw out alarms but it bears close watching imho
  23. 12z Gfs takes the storm away until the weekend of the 7th-8th.. Shows what would probably be a big freezing rain or sleet event in dfw with temps in the mid 20s.. Takes away the overrunning. Still wouldn't shock me to see it get icy next week, and not just the temps
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