nchighcountrywx
-
Posts
2,602 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Posts posted by nchighcountrywx
-
-
-
7
-
-
Taken by a brother of a co-worker from Ohio
-
8
-
1
-
-
Timm: Your photos are total awesomeness. I am grateful for you sharing them.
-
2
-
-
ACCUMULATING SNOW EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGH ELEVATIONS OF THE
NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS THROUGH FRIDAY...
Intermittent snow showers are expected across the high elevations
of the North Carolina mountains through Friday. By Friday evening,
accumulations ranging from a dusting to up to 3 inches are expected
across much of the area above 3500 feet. Locally higher amounts of
6 inches or more are expected on the high peaks and ridge tops
along the Tennessee border. Motorists traveling across the high
elevations through Friday should use extra caution.-
1
-
-
THIS REGIME WILL EVOLVE INTO MORE OF A NW FLOW SCENARIO TONIGHT ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE UPPER TROUGH. SNOW LEVELS HAVE LOWERED TO AROUND 3000 FEET OR SO THIS MORNING, BUT WILL LIFT TO 3500-4000 FEET WITH DIURNAL HEATING LATER TODAY. ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED TO AROUND 3500 FEET AND ABOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN NC MTNS, AND MORE LIKE ABOVE 4000' ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA. SINCE THIS IS NOT A "TRADITIONAL" NW FLOW EVENT (SMALL UPSLOPE COMPONENT DUE TO WESTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW), EVEN AREAS THAT WOULD NORMALLY SEE VIRTUALLY CONTINUOUS SNOW IN A TRUE UPSLOPE EVENT WILL SEE "SHOWERY" CONDITIONS IN THE TRUEST SINCE, AND IN FACT, SNOWPACK COULD UNDERGO SOME DEGREE OF MELTING IN BETWEEN BOUTS OF SHOWERS DUE TO MARGINAL TEMPERATURES. THIS MAKES THE SNOWFALL FORECAST AND WHAT TO DO IN TERMS OF WINTER WX HEADLINES A BIT PROBLEMATIC. THE CURRENT FORECAST HAS GENERAL 1-4" AMOUNTS IN THE AFOREMENTIONED HIGH ELEVATION AREAS ALONG THE TN/NC BORDER THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ON THE HIGH PEAKS AND RIDGE TOPS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE STATE LINE. THIS IS JUST ENOUGH TO WARRANT A WINTER WX ADVISORY FOR AVERY COUNTY, WHILE AN SPS SHOULD SUFFICE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE MOUNTAINS.
-
2
-
-
-
Snow reports from Saturday from Raysweather:
Watauga8There is about 8 inches total at the end of 1/20/24. The strong winds created deep (~24 inches) drifting in this area.Madison7.5Finished with 7.5 inches. Total includes report from yesterday. Snow lasted until 7pm. Currently-3°Buncombe0.3Although snow showers continued, the accumulation at 9 am is the same as 5 pm yesterday.Avery5.8At 12:30 today we have a total of almost 6 inches. It's hard to measure with the wind and the leftover snow from the Monday and Tuesday event. It's currently snowing lightly (arctic haze) at 2:30. I will report at the end of the day or late evening, if we have more accumulation.Madison1.5Snow flurries accumulated an additional 1.5 inches of snow overnight (measured at 8AM). The snow flurries started this morning and tapered off at about 5 PM. Moderate dusting but not measurable except for the 1.5 inches recorded early this morning.Ashe10.5Snow total so far from today and yesterday. Was 4" by sunset Friday night, then another 6.5" overnight. Total 10.5 by 8:20 am Saturday. Still snowing, but light as of noon. Wind starting to pick up. Never mind, it's snowing again.Haywood4steady light to moderate snow fell overnight only flurries remain as of 8am, temp at 8am is 3 degreesWatauga1.5Additional snow accumulation overnight. Strong winds and brutally cold single digit temps.Watauga5Heavy snow continued most of Friday beginning with a glazing of ice. Totals of 5 more inches with the base of 6 inches last week. Without the strong winds,our accumulations would be greater.Buncombe0on and off flurries and snow showers continued overnight in Beaverdam N Asheville. An additional inch for a total so far of 1.6. Temp is 11 at 10:00Madison2.7At 7am the temp is 5 with calm wind. We have 2.7 inches of powdery snow in the last 24 hours with 1.2 inches since 5pm yesterday. We have about 5 inches of snow pack on the ground.Watauga8(8" is the storm total since the snow started Fri morning. ) Let's be honest folks. This is sorta fun (the first big one of the season always is as long as you are warm and safe inside your home with no frozen pipes or power outgages) Has now been snowing without a complete break for 24 hours. Yesterday's strong winds have created some 2-3' drifts this morning. But the winds have quieted down at least so far this morning (10-15mph range) allowing the snow to 'stick' on the Fraser firs and other evergreens here in the gardens-really pretty.Madison1.5Dawn: fluffy dry snow fell after midnight. Not currently snowing. Looks like ideal skiing powder. Certainly a set of snowshoes would aid a woodswalk.Watauga3As of 7:45 am this morning add another 3 inches to yesterdays 4 inches here at ASM. Winds are starting to increase now so feel certain there will be some significant drifting. It is now 5 degrees and the "Arctic Haze" Ray often speaks of is in full effect today. Stay warm folks!Galax0An additional very light accumulation this morning from overnight flurries. Not enough to measure. Very cold but no wind as of right now.Yancey2.1At 8:00 AM it is 9 degrees F on Bolens Creek. We got a bit more snow through the night.Ashe1.3Snow flurries yesterday added another 1.3 inches so today, there's 3 inches of frozen, crunchy snow on the ground with a very fluffy, lite 1-1.3 inches added to that. Skies are mostly cloudy with the sun peaking out here & there with 17 degrees at 1PMAshe0.1Just a dusting overnight covering yesterday's light snow, but near zero at 8:00 a.m. Now sunny at noon; nothing melting, very slippery outside.Watauga0.5With an additional half inch that fell overnight, there is almost an inch at 7:00 am. 13 degrees here.Watauga92” of new snow fell overnight, bringing the 8:00 am total to 9” from this Friday-Saturday storm.Ashe0.252.1 inches total from yesterday and today. We received 0.25 inches since midnight and is currently just flurries and 9 degrees at 7 am.Watauga8.2510;am Well been waiting a long time for this big snow A snow spotter's dream! We had additional snow fall last night of about 1-1.5 in Hard to tell exactly how much because of wind blown snow, but after taking 4- 5 measurements around the yard our total is 8 in. Temp is 8 with light flurry action. ENJOY THE NC MOUNTAIN SNOW STAY SAFE AND WARM!Johnson9.5This is the total for all accumulation this week. Steady snow fall continuing .Watauga7Got about 2 inches overnight to add onto the 5 from yesterday (Friday)Henderson0Temperature at 7:00 AM 9 degrees F. Trace amount of snow on grassy surfaces.Mitchell3Its hard to get an accurate measurement because of the wind but my best estimate is 3 inches for the storm total from yesterday and last night as of Saturday 8amCarter8Total of 8 inches for this storm. Western facing slope over 3200 ft. Snow has finally stopped at 5:30 pmWatauga1210:45 am. Light snow falling so thinking that it's over for the most part. 12" in most parts of the yard. Waiting for the plow to clear the road.Watauga4.2Continued snow throughout the night, light to moderate snow showers continue this morning.Watauga7Elev 4032, as of 9am: The 2 day total (1/19-1/20) is around 7”. Could be a little more, could be a little less. It’s impossible to get an accurate measurement with the extreme wind and prior snow from 1/15.Ashe0.3Light snow and flurries overnight and this morning. Total for two days about 2.3 inches. 10 degrees at 7:20 AM.Buncombe010° this morning, very cloudy with flurries and maybe 2 inches of snow where it has not been disturbed.Watauga5There is approximately 5 inches of total snowfall on the ground since yesterday. It is very difficult to measure due to high winds and being situated on the very top of the mountain. It appears that we only got an additional .5 inch since last night, and it has been a relatively calm day, with bouts of flurries. We are definitely not experiencing the active snowfall that downtown Boone has been today (looking at the live webcam).Watauga0No additional accumulation today. At least 10 inches on ground total. No melt todayWatauga1Little overnight accumulation accompanied by strong winds and single digit temps.Watauga13As of 1:00A.M we are at 11". On heavy snow blown areas, we are over 2.5ft. At this time, snow is still falling at a steady pace and winds are light, but not heavy like Friday. We will see what the rest of the day has in store. We are already at negative Temps. Dreading tomorrow. Stay safe, and stay home! As of 1:00 P.M- Snow continued through the night, dumping an additional 2 inches. Currently on and off flurries, bad a brief few hours this morning of a null and pretty calm besides the temps. Still have a heavy artic haze, almost blinding when you have to hike in it to take care of a Ranch. Will update later!! Stay safe!!!Watauga6.02Snow accumulations are now at 6 inches. Lots of wind and snow drifts that are 1-2 feet deep.-
2
-
-
Thank you Tim. All your photos from this week have been awesome! Thank you for sharing them brother
-
2
-
-
NOUS42 KGSP 201431 PNSGSP GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-068>072- 082-501>510-SCZ008>014-019-101>109-210231- Public Information Statement National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 931 AM EST Sat Jan 20 2024 ...SNOWFALL REPORTS... Location Amount Time/Date Lat/Lon ...North Carolina... ...Avery County... 1 ENE Sugar Mountain 8.0 in 0415 PM 01/19 36.13N/81.84W Banner Elk 1.3 W 6.2 in 0600 AM 01/20 36.16N/81.90W 1 NNE Banner Elk 6.0 in 0621 PM 01/19 36.18N/81.86W 1 WSW Banner Elk 4.0 in 0130 PM 01/19 36.16N/81.89W Plumtree 0.5 W 2.0 in 0700 AM 01/20 36.03N/82.02W Linville Falls 0.5 SW 0.8 in 0715 AM 01/20 35.95N/81.95W ...Buncombe County... 2 WNW Weaverville 5.0 in 0500 PM 01/19 35.71N/82.59W 3 SW Woodfin 3.1 in 0949 PM 01/19 35.61N/82.63W Weaverville 5.6 E 2.5 in 0700 AM 01/20 35.71N/82.46W Leicester 1.5 in 0655 PM 01/19 35.65N/82.69W Leicester 3.7 SSE 1.5 in 0700 AM 01/20 35.60N/82.68W 2 WSW Woodfin 1.3 in 0401 PM 01/19 35.62N/82.62W Leicester 4.5 SW 1.3 in 0700 AM 01/20 35.62N/82.76W Leicester 2 SE 1.2 in 0700 AM 01/20 35.63N/82.68W 2 WNW Downtown Asheville 1.0 in 0230 PM 01/19 35.58N/82.58W Weaverville 0.7 SW 1.0 in 0700 AM 01/20 35.69N/82.57W Asheville 7.3 SSW 0.7 in 0700 AM 01/20 35.50N/82.61W 2 SE Woodfin 0.5 in 1200 PM 01/19 35.62N/82.57W Candler 0.5 in 0200 PM 01/19 35.54N/82.69W Asheville 1.2 NNW 0.5 in 0700 AM 01/20 35.59N/82.55W Black Mountain 2.1 W 0.3 in 0700 AM 01/20 35.62N/82.37W Asheville 3.8 E 0.2 in 0700 AM 01/20 35.58N/82.48W Candler 1.9 ESE 0.2 in 0730 AM 01/20 35.52N/82.66W Fairview 1.4 WSW T in 0700 AM 01/20 35.51N/82.43W ...Burke County... Jonas Ridge 1.4 S 5.2 in 0700 AM 01/20 35.95N/81.89W ...Haywood County... 4 WSW Maggie Valley 4.0 in 0333 PM 01/19 35.50N/83.16W 2 ENE Maggie Valley 0.5 in 0700 AM 01/20 35.54N/83.05W Waynesville 1.0 NW 0.4 in 0700 AM 01/20 35.49N/83.01W Waynesville 0.7 ENE T in 0700 AM 01/20 35.49N/82.99W ...Henderson County... Fletcher 2.4 SW T in 0700 AM 01/20 35.41N/82.53W Laurel Park 1.5 W T in 0730 AM 01/20 35.31N/82.53W Lake Lure 6.0 WNW T in 0800 AM 01/20 35.48N/82.30W Gerton 0.4 SW T in 0800 AM 01/20 35.48N/82.35W East Flat Rock 0.5 NNE T in 0800 AM 01/20 35.29N/82.41W ...Madison County... Marshall 5.0 in 0700 AM 01/20 35.80N/82.67W Marshall 13.6 NNW 4.5 in 0800 AM 01/20 35.98N/82.77W 15 NNE Marshall 2.7 in 0700 AM 01/20 36.01N/82.62W Hot Springs 1.0 in 0700 AM 01/20 35.89N/82.82W Leicester 6.5 WNW 0.9 in 0700 AM 01/20 35.70N/82.80W ...McDowell County... Old Fort 4.9 SW T in 0800 AM 01/20 35.58N/82.23W ...Mitchell County... 1 SE Buladean 5.8 in 0700 AM 01/20 36.09N/82.17W Buladean 1.3 ESE 5.2 in 0800 AM 01/20 36.10N/82.17W Little Switzerland 2.5 in 0900 AM 01/20 35.85N/82.09W 2 SE Bakersville 1.0 in 0800 AM 01/20 35.99N/82.13W ...Swain County... Wesser 1.7 SE 0.2 in 0710 AM 01/20 35.32N/83.56W ...Yancey County... 5 NNE Faust 5.0 in 0900 PM 01/19 35.98N/82.50W 5 SSW Burnsville 4.9 in 0800 AM 01/20 35.84N/82.34W 5 NW Mount Mitchell State Pa 3.0 in 0815 AM 01/20 35.83N/82.33W Burnsville 4.6 N 2.0 in 0700 AM 01/20 35.98N/82.29W Burnsville 1.5 WNW 1.7 in 0700 AM 01/20 35.92N/82.32W Celo 2 S 0.9 in 0700 AM 01/20 35.83N/82.18W Bald Creek 1.2 NW 0.5 in 1000 AM 01/19 35.92N/82.44W && **METADATA** :1/20/2024,0715 AM, NC, Avery, Linville Falls 0.5 SW, , , 35.9544, -81.952, SNOW_24, 0.8, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0700 AM, NC, Avery, Plumtree 0.5 W, , , 36.0278, -82.0169, SNOW_24, 2, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/19/2024,0130 PM, NC, Avery, 1 WSW Banner Elk, , , 36.1565, -81.8878, SNOW_24, 4, Inch, Cocorahs, 24 hour snowfall, :1/19/2024,0621 PM, NC, Avery, 1 NNE Banner Elk, , , 36.1808, -81.8642, SNOW_24, 6, Inch, Public, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0600 AM, NC, Avery, Banner Elk 1.3 W, , , 36.159, -81.896, SNOW_24, 6.2, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/19/2024,0415 PM, NC, Avery, 1 ENE Sugar Mountain, , , 36.1326, -81.8441, SNOW_24, 8, Inch, Trained Spotter, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0700 AM, NC, Buncombe, Fairview 1.4 WSW, , , 35.5142, -82.426, SNOW_24, 0.001, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0700 AM, NC, Buncombe, Asheville 3.8 E, , , 35.5793, -82.4808, SNOW_24, 0.2, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0730 AM, NC, Buncombe, Candler 1.9 ESE, , , 35.5234, -82.6623, SNOW_24, 0.2, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0700 AM, NC, Buncombe, Black Mountain 2.1 W, , , 35.6171, -82.3681, SNOW_24, 0.3, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/19/2024,1200 PM, NC, Buncombe, 2 SE Woodfin, , , 35.6165, -82.5663, SNOW_24, 0.5, Inch, Trained Spotter, 24 hour snowfall, :1/19/2024,0200 PM, NC, Buncombe, Candler, , , 35.5375, -82.686, SNOW_24, 0.5, Inch, Public, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0700 AM, NC, Buncombe, Asheville 1.2 NNW, , , 35.5909, -82.5549, SNOW_24, 0.5, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0700 AM, NC, Buncombe, Asheville 7.3 SSW, , , 35.5038, -82.6059, SNOW_24, 0.7, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/19/2024,0230 PM, NC, Buncombe, 2 WNW Downtown Asheville, , , 35.5814, -82.5832, SNOW_24, 1, Inch, Public, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0700 AM, NC, Buncombe, Weaverville 0.7 SW, , , 35.6882, -82.5652, SNOW_24, 1, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0700 AM, NC, Buncombe, Leicester 2 SE, , , 35.6263, -82.6763, SNOW_24, 1.2, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/19/2024,0401 PM, NC, Buncombe, 2 WSW Woodfin, , , 35.624, -82.6244, SNOW_24, 1.3, Inch, Public, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0700 AM, NC, Buncombe, Leicester 4.5 SW, , , 35.6184, -82.763, SNOW_24, 1.3, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/19/2024,0655 PM, NC, Buncombe, Leicester, , , 35.6531, -82.6907, SNOW_24, 1.5, Inch, Public, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0700 AM, NC, Buncombe, Leicester 3.7 SSE, , , 35.6035, -82.6814, SNOW_24, 1.5, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0700 AM, NC, Buncombe, Weaverville 5.6 E, , , 35.7077, -82.4592, SNOW_24, 2.5, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/19/2024,0949 PM, NC, Buncombe, 3 SW Woodfin, , , 35.607, -82.6259, SNOW_24, 3.1, Inch, Public, 24 hour snowfall, :1/19/2024,0500 PM, NC, Buncombe, 2 WNW Weaverville, , , 35.7086, -82.591, SNOW_24, 5, Inch, Other Federal, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0700 AM, NC, Burke, Jonas Ridge 1.4 S, , , 35.952, -81.8918, SNOW_24, 5.2, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0700 AM, NC, Haywood, Waynesville 0.7 ENE, , , 35.4884, -82.9868, SNOW_24, 0.001, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0700 AM, NC, Haywood, Waynesville 1.0 NW, , , 35.4932, -83.0127, SNOW_24, 0.4, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0700 AM, NC, Haywood, 2 ENE Maggie Valley, , , 35.5389, -83.0467, SNOW_24, 0.5, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/19/2024,0333 PM, NC, Haywood, 4 WSW Maggie Valley, , , 35.4969, -83.1556, SNOW_24, 4, Inch, Trained Spotter, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0700 AM, NC, Henderson, Fletcher 2.4 SW, , , 35.4059, -82.5272, SNOW_24, 0.001, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0730 AM, NC, Henderson, Laurel Park 1.5 W, , , 35.3084, -82.5274, SNOW_24, 0.001, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0800 AM, NC, Henderson, Lake Lure 6.0 WNW, , , 35.4754, -82.3042, SNOW_24, 0.001, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0800 AM, NC, Henderson, Gerton 0.4 SW, , , 35.476, -82.353, SNOW_24, 0.001, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0800 AM, NC, Henderson, East Flat Rock 0.5 NNE, , , 35.291, -82.4143, SNOW_24, 0.001, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0700 AM, NC, Madison, Leicester 6.5 WNW, , , 35.6955, -82.7991, SNOW_24, 0.9, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0700 AM, NC, Madison, Hot Springs, , , 35.8936, -82.8233, SNOW_24, 1, Inch, COOP, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0700 AM, NC, Madison, 15 NNE Marshall, , , 36.0084, -82.6182, SNOW_24, 2.7, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0800 AM, NC, Madison, Marshall 13.6 NNW, , , 35.9821, -82.7672, SNOW_24, 4.5, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0700 AM, NC, Madison, Marshall, , , 35.8036, -82.6658, SNOW_24, 5, Inch, COOP, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0800 AM, NC, McDowell, Old Fort 4.9 SW, , , 35.5788, -82.2345, SNOW_24, 0.001, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0800 AM, NC, Mitchell, 2 SE Bakersville, , , 35.989, -82.128, SNOW_24, 1, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0900 AM, NC, Mitchell, Little Switzerland, , , 35.8503, -82.0932, SNOW_24, 2.5, Inch, Emergency Mngr, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0800 AM, NC, Mitchell, Buladean 1.3 ESE, , , 36.1022, -82.1726, SNOW_24, 5.2, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0700 AM, NC, Mitchell, 1 SE Buladean, , , 36.092, -82.175, SNOW_24, 5.8, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0710 AM, NC, Swain, Wesser 1.7 SE, , , 35.3183, -83.5645, SNOW_24, 0.2, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/19/2024,1000 AM, NC, Yancey, Bald Creek 1.2 NW, , , 35.9232, -82.4388, SNOW_24, 0.5, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0700 AM, NC, Yancey, Celo 2 S, , , 35.8263, -82.1837, SNOW_24, 0.9, Inch, COOP, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0700 AM, NC, Yancey, Burnsville 1.5 WNW, , , 35.921, -82.3233, SNOW_24, 1.7, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0700 AM, NC, Yancey, Burnsville 4.6 N, , , 35.982, -82.2852, SNOW_24, 2, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0815 AM, NC, Yancey, 5 NW Mount Mitchell State Park, , , 35.8297, -82.3285, SNOW_24, 3, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/20/2024,0800 AM, NC, Yancey, 5 SSW Burnsville, , , 35.8386, -82.3414, SNOW_24, 4.9, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour snowfall, :1/19/2024,0900 PM, NC, Yancey, 5 NNE Faust, , , 35.9772, -82.4955, SNOW_24, 5, Inch, Trained Spotter, 24 hour snowfall, Observations are collected from a variety of sources with varying equipment and exposures. We thank all volunteer weather observers for their dedication. Not all data listed are considered official.
-
4
-
-
8 hours ago, GoAPPS said:
What is this depicting?
The source area for todays cold advection and moisture flow
-
4
-
-
-
-
-
-
GSP Morning AFD Discussion 01/04/24 300am
The aforementioned low-level jet will establish a pronounced warm nose across the area before the column fully saturates with the warm nose strongest across eastern portions of the area. Wetbulbing via saturation of the dry airmass will help establish an in-situ wedge of cold air east of the mountains. Sub-freezing wetbulb temperatures will be common at precipitation onset from the mountains through the North Carolina foothills and Piedmont, especially deeper into the wedge along and north of I-40. Thus, a mixed bag of precipitation types is expected Friday night into Saturday morning. A brief period of snow is expected across the mountains before the strengthening warm nose switches things over to sleet and then freezing rain.
Farther east, in the in-situ wedge, freezing rain will be the predominate precipitation type with a brief period of sleet possible across the northern foothills. Without a sustained source of cold dry air, and given the self limiting process of freezing rain due to latent heat release, all locations will eventually see surface temperatures warm above freezing. This will occur quickest on the edges of the in-situ wedge with the northern foothills and mountains the last to see temperatures rise above freezing late Saturday morning. Pretty much everyone should be seeing a cold rain by noon, if not earlier.
The question now turns to how much snow/sleet/ice accumulation can be expected. The quick transition to ice across the mountains will limit snow/sleet totals to 1-2" followed by 0.05-0.2" of ice. In the in-situ wedge, marginal wetbulb temperatures and light winds will lead to modest ice accretion at best with most places on the edge of the wedge seeing a lot of runoff and less freezing of the rain. A few hundreths of an inch of accretion will be possible along I-85 before quickly warming above freezing with roughly 0.1-0.2" along a line from Statesville to Hickory to Rutherfordton and Columbus.
Historically, even during in-situ wedge regimes, the foothills immediately against the Blue Ridge escarpment, especially along and north of I-40 tend to hold on to sub-freezing air the longest and have proven to be stubborn to warm. Guidance often struggles to resolve this with the NAM often having the best handle on low-level thermal profiles in wedge airmasses. Thus, more weight was given towards the NAM thermal profiles, which supports a longer duration of freezing rain against the escarpment. In addition to climatological support, probabilistic guidance also paints this area as the location most likely to have the potential to receive warning criteria ice accretion. As such, a winter storm watch has been hoisted from Alexander/Caldwell counties southwest along the escarpment through Henderson and the mountains of Polk county. The highest ice totals are expected to occur in this corridor from Lenoir to Marion to Lake Lure and Hendersonville. Eventually, winter weather advisories will be needed across the surrounding counties where ice accretion is expected. Two limiting factors that could result in less ice would be temperatures warming quicker than currently forecast and the potential for deep convection along the Gulf Coast to inhibit greater inland moisture transport and reduce available QPF. A period of northwest flow snow showers will also be possible along the Tennessee border Saturday night
-
1
-
-
Alexander-Henderson-Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-
Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-
Rutherford Mountains-Polk Mountains-
Including the cities of Bethlehem, Ellendale, Millersville,
Taylorsville, Hiddenite, Stony Point, Hendersonville, Fletcher,
Dana, East Flat Rock, Tuxedo, Etowah, Patterson, Kings Creek,
Lenoir, Sawmills, Granite Falls, Jonas Ridge, Morganton,
Pleasant Grove, Valdese, Ashford, Sugar Hill, Woodlawn, Old Fort,
Marion, Nebo, Dysartsville, Fero, Glenwood,
Chimney Rock State Park, and Saluda
354 AM EST Thu Jan 4 2024
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow and sleet
accumulations of up to a half inch and ice accumulations of two
tenths to one quarter of an inch possible. Isolated areas could
see ice accumulations up to three tenths of an inch.
* WHERE...Portions of piedmont and western North Carolina.
* WHEN...From late Friday night through Saturday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.
-
Updated morning decision support briefing from GSP
Winter Storm Watch Issued
-
1
-
-
-
-
-
NCZ033-049-050-180345-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WW.Y.0008.231218T1100Z-231219T1100Z/
Avery-Yancey-Mitchell-
Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Swiss,
Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine,
and Poplar
238 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2023
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 6 AM EST
TUESDAY...
* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 6
inches. Winds gusting as high as 60 mph.
* WHERE...Avery, Yancey and Mitchell Counties.
* WHEN...From 6 AM Monday to 6 AM EST Tuesday.
* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous
conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Strong
winds could cause tree damage. The cold wind chills as low as
5 below zero could result in hypothermia if precautions are
not taken.
-
1
-
-
Snow #14 inbound for the high country above 5000' so far this winter. Keep counting them.
-
3
-
-
This is a shot across the bow. Major change in the outlook
-
2
-
1
-
-
This is concerning
2024 Spring/Summer Mountain Thread
in Southeastern States
Posted
https://x.com/nwsgsp/status/1779177676390969593?s=46&t=FFGrWYuqJINrKdAyxhtzfg
Gust to 95.2mph at Grandfather within the last hour