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OrangeCTWX

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Everything posted by OrangeCTWX

  1. OrangeCTWX
    Not Mt Tolland approved.
  2. OrangeCTWX
    It’s in the same spot, and same strength really. It’s drops over a foot in western ct. Cant say I see any issues.
  3. OrangeCTWX
    A bad weather model.
  4. OrangeCTWX
    Difference appears to be a warm tongue at 700mb on the 3k vs the GFS. We don’t even sniff sleet here on the GFS despite it having a similar low position as the NAM. My guess is unfortunately that the 3k would be better at picking up stuff like this, but perhaps it is overaggressive with it..
  5. OrangeCTWX
    3k is a few hours of snow and then sleet then a dry spot despite having a further south surface track than 6z. This hobby sucks.
  6. OrangeCTWX
    Pretty much every model now has a dry slot in CT after a initial thump. Makes sense honestly, just hope to keep the sleet down into LI. Edit: though based on the map above who cares if we dry slot that initial thump would be awesome.
  7. OrangeCTWX
    Seems like things are just becoming more unclear now not less. Dryslots, suppression, mixing all a possibility still. No bueno.
  8. OrangeCTWX
    I wonder what Ryan is thinking.
  9. OrangeCTWX
    CMC looks pretty much the same as 0z, maybe tucked just a slight bit more but same trajectory besides that.
  10. OrangeCTWX
    RGEM goes out to 84 hr now on TT
  11. OrangeCTWX
    Was about to go to bed feeeling good and then you had to do this.. . Actually it’s good to be made aware of stuff like this, but a positive GFS trend would really help me feel better about this whole thing.
  12. OrangeCTWX
    There are more tucked in members for sure, but the north progression still isn’t very good. Most get shunted east at/south of cape may.
  13. OrangeCTWX
    Ya i feel that way too, seemed early on like it was trending in the right direction but then it just fell apart.
  14. OrangeCTWX
    CMC is nothing like the GFS. Foot + for SNE.
  15. OrangeCTWX
    Get the GFS on board and I might finally do the same. Almost there.
  16. OrangeCTWX
    Only goes to 84 obviously, but it’s great for everyone south of the NH border. Death band extending from philly to providence.
  17. OrangeCTWX
    The RGEM is an absolute crusher wowzers.
  18. OrangeCTWX
    Crazy uncle out yet?
  19. OrangeCTWX
    RGEM looks similar to the NAM.
  20. OrangeCTWX
    Could see totals even higher than what’s showing up on the EURO weenie map if that happened. But many more solutions to go before we can lock this in.
  21. OrangeCTWX
    Really just depends on how far north it goes before it gets pushed east by the high. The stronger the storm the more tucked/north it goes. This euro run verbatim would be great for all of SNE. It also appears to turn this into a 24 hour event, almost stalling between 6z-12z.
  22. OrangeCTWX
    Wish this was the euro of old where we could just lock it up and celebrate, but that’s a good run for sure.
  23. OrangeCTWX
    NAM actually is coming more north/stronger with the Monday system. Looks pretty good for portions of SNE.
  24. OrangeCTWX
    Do we have to grant it a pardon if it ends up betraying us?
  25. OrangeCTWX
    Maine is pretty much Canada when it comes right down to it lol
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