famartin

21 minutes ago, ChescoWx said:

For Ray the actual average temperatures by month - who would have thought 6 months a bit warmer at Coatesville and 6 months cooler...a solid highly statistically data set!!-

Paul, again the problem is that the numbers going into the average. Your highs, and apparently your lows, aren’t representative of a proper site.

I give up.

This one is easier to read. Again, this is raw high temps.

Here's the raw high temp numbers. Take all of Paul's highs this time of year and add 3-4 to get something realistic:

7 minutes ago, ChescoWx said:

Sigh ..Ray why the anger and the name calling. No place for that here. While I am far from a statistical genius it really is not difficult to see that those 2 data points with more than 1500 data points (days) can't be that incredibly close by chance....hence why they are considered to be statistically equivalent. They just cannot be that close by chance Ray....it just is what it is! And it most certainly does NOT suck to me LOL!!!!

Paul… you’re fighting this is tiresome, that’s why the “name calling”. Your data is simply garbage, like most of your related “climate change” posts. I’ve proven that pretty well just now. But obviously you have an agenda. Obviously if your a rich snob in east nantmeal then I guess overall, it doesn’t suck to be you, but your numbers are trash. Too bad, so sad.

Paul, the data clearly shows yours highs have a severe cold bias this time of year. If you don’t like it, frankly it sucks to be you. 

Paul has screamed about the compatibility of his station with others historically. He's pressed me to prove him wrong. Well, here it is:

The closest station to him, Coatesville 2W, overlaps for 4 years from 2004-2007. I think those who've paid attention to him realize he probably runs cold for highs. So here's the average high temperature differences from Coatesville to his station during those 4 years, and they make perfect sense given his shady site.

Jan -0.75

Feb -0.45

Mar -0.875

Apr -0.925

May -2.475

Jun -3.15

Jul -3.325

Aug -3.35

Sep -3.05

Oct -2.475

Nov -1.175

Dec -0.825

Ann -1.90208

That pretty much perfectly fits a curve of tree canopy percentage.

6 minutes ago, ChescoWx said:

Ray - anti-climate change huh? I am the biggest believer in cyclical climate change as you know....

That's not what I mean, and you know it. You are staunchly against human-induced change. In any case, I wish you would just be-gone. Seeing your drivel here is infuriating.

1 minute ago, ChescoWx said:

I do NOT want to discuss this as we have proven the data and beaten this topic to death! I never discuss it unless someone decides to question the statistical validity of the data presented. If you don't mention it - either will I

Paul your method is clearly wrong. Besides the poor measurement quality of your own data (way too shaded, does that station EVER get in the sun?), being over 300 feet above West Chester means all comparisons between West Chester and your house are garbage, unless you make a SIGNIFICANT downward adjustment with the West Chester data or a significant UPWARD adjustment of your house. Honestly, the fact you refuse to believe that shows just how either uneducated or biased you are. Like I said, the lack of sense in your posts would have me ban you from the subject, if I had my way. You're either grossly uneducated or grossly trying to support a biased view. Either way, it has no place here.

Just now, ChescoWx said:

As we have stated often - the statistical data analytics on my data has proven the data to be statistically valid based on the p-values....it cannot be that close based on chance -hence why we do statistical analysis.

Paul, its just not. Sorry. You are just dead wrong. Honestly if I had my way I'd ban you from discussing this subject here and at Phillywx.

"yawn"

I started arguing with Paul over on Phillywx and the thread got locked. I'm a middle-of-the-roader who scoffs at the ridiculousness of both sides these days. The world isn't going to end from human-induced climate change, but adding CO2 does cause warming. Chester County might not be warming, but Paul's methods are, to put it bluntly, grossly inappropriate, so his so called "non-warming" trends are completely untrustworthy. The fact his signature file is novel-length and totally related his anti-climate change stance is proof enough that his opinions are biased.

Here's pure West Chester data, note there are gaps particularly from 1992-1999, and unfortunately no data since 2017. These are the 10 warmest June - Augusts (met Summer).

...because they were all measured over 300 feet below you.

2 hours ago, Birds~69 said:

This summer torch will be brief (week) then back to 70s for highs....10th, 11th, 12th?

We lose quite a bit of daylight during Sept. Sunset 7:32pm (9/1) to Sunset 6:44pm (9/30)

55F/DP 52F

You lose more sunlight in September than any other month.

Agree, we've had snowless or nearly snowless (outside of one random big one) El Ninos to be sure, but dry El Ninos are hard to come by. Now watch, somehow this will be the dry one

We still have better odds of a KU with an El Nino, so here's to hoping.

36 minutes ago, JTA66 said:

I think I heard San Diego's daily rainfall record is something like .60"? So yeah, even 2"-3" will be their version of Floyd 

Windows open with a nice breeze coming through the house, 81F/DP 62F.

Getting OT but remember that San Diego rarely sees rain this time of year.  Their August average is just 0.01".  Their daily record on August 22nd is just a trace, and almost half the days of August have daily records less than 0.10".  Don't get me wrong, there have been a few random gully-washers... the monthly single-day record is 1.80 on August 12, 1873.  But its quite rare. Their all-time daily record is 3.34" on December 2, 1854, followed by 3.23" on April on April 5, 1926. The last time they had over 2" in a day was February 27, 2017.

3-day total 5.96".  4.36" of that was in two hours on Saturday afternoon/evening.

18 hours ago, MacChump said:

as soon as we get a red tagger in here he blows town, tale as old as time

I'll try to stop by more regularly.

Less than an hour ago I had a 0.2" coating, but as they say on South Park...

0.6” and that’s probably it for this one

First full inch of snow since moving back...

37 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

missing u

In much of (not all of) PHI-land, its been 10 years since 100. Not sure about OKX-land.

11 hours ago, gravitylover said:

And the next day it snowed. They had to cancel trick or treating here because it was still sketchy with branches falling and blocked streets with no power. 

I think you're remembering 2011's snowstorm here. It did snow after Sandy, but not til after Halloween. The damage from the 2011 snowstorm, followed in 2012 by Sandy, probably ruined Halloween 2 years in a row in some places.

1 hour ago, KamuSnow said:

Welcome home! Are you changing offices?

Yup

Figure I should mention here that I'll be returning to the area permanently in May...