lpaschall

1 minute ago, Ji said:

ha..icon is insane

I do not think its to be believed but the trends are obvious in the models. Lets see if the continue.

Just now, Flying Bouncy House said:

Anybody have the link to the ICON?

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=icon&region=us&pkg=T2m_contour&runtime=2019011618&fh=90

18Z NAM looks good. 

So we have the Ukie, Euro, and JMA in our camp right? (Our meaning mine....Northern MD)

I hope other guidance start trending towards the UKIE. I think the difference it the two HP's two the north of the low.

UKIE looks good. LP is in NW GA and HP W of GL and in Quebec.

8 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

we have a 1036 that just showed up to the party.  yeah he got bounced out, but couple that with the arctic express, and that is my way home w/ this one.  I'm likely off my rocker, but that is my angle.  To me, LP would adjust as we get closer.  500's say I'm lost as well, but again, I go back to surface as there is enough cold close to save some of us.

I agree that the location of that HP is crucial. On the Monday 0Z GFS it was pressing down and we are all snow. Future runs have show it ahead and further north of the low.

3 minutes ago, LP08 said:

12z Nam coming in much flatter and south.  Congrats EZF?

I think we want a further south track to set up for the weekend storm. Right?

Ill take my 2-4" up here and be happy.

8 minutes ago, mappy said:

yeah you aren't going to do that again. 

Thanks Mappy.

I cant figure out why snow is not hitting the ground in Westminster...Its been dry for the past hour and I am under 20dbz according to NWS radar. Ill take my 4" and be happy though.

3 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said:

Pounding

I hope some of those yellow's can make the trip up to Westminster. Great storm for DC and suburbs! I am enjoying my 4" here in Westminster but always want more. 

Appears Low pressure has formed off the southern coast of SC. Coastal development looking good and hoping it follow the HRRR model or even further west to give the northern tier some love.

25 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

2.4”. 5 miles south of me has 4.5”. The Fringe was real 

Really happy for the dc/Baltimore area though. 

I have about 3"+ in Westminster and expect another inch from the coast development. Great to have snow on the ground and also excited to see the DC folks cash in this time around.

A few lost flurries in Westminster hitting my windshield.

nice squall in Westminster. Driveway and edge of road getting covered.

Light flurries in Westminter... :-)

2 minutes ago, HighStakes said:

Going to be close call for us. We may stay snow especially with the heavier bursts through 2 p.m. or so

I am heading down to Eldersburg soon and will send an update.

Down to 26 and heavy snow now in Westminster. Local road covered of course. :-)

1 minute ago, WxUSAF said:

Mix line showing up nicely on CC radar. Runs along 66 in VA and Rt 50 in MD. Not sure what’s south of there. Just sleet?  I imagine we’re going to be rate dependent for the next couple hours.

What radar site can I use to see the mix line?

9 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

Snow downtown Baltimore now. What a great way to start the season.

Congrats! Was hoping Bmore would get some love.

3 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

Moderate sleet with a few fatties mixing in

All snow down here in Westminster. 

1 minute ago, mappy said:

being one of the furthest forum members north, and waiting for the snow to start, while the rest of you all are dancing in snow... is agonizing. 

It should be staring any minute for you and will be worth the wait.

Steady sleet already mixing in with snow in Westminster

Pixie dust sleet finally falling in Westminster.