eaglesin2011

Maybe next week will be "the one"? Lol.    

Btw for you history buffs...

What was the last 6+ storm in Ric that didn't also include any measurable  mix or sleet? 

Any warnings for tomorrows storm yet? I figure somwhere close should have a WWA at least. .

Thinking about dusting to an inch here, due to us chasing the temps again.  

I'm not looking at any of the models personally until whatever happens with this first front... Maybe nothing will change, but to me it's not worth getting all worked until we are under 48 hours out...Like with most systems around here, allot has to line up almost perfectly to get a big snow storm around here unfortunately.

Hopefully we get some good rates with this first system.. Gonna be chasing the temps again unfortunately.

Let's see what happens with this first system  ..

Looking a little better & stronger for this area at the moment .. 

I have a feeling once it clears we will know better what exactly will happen with the weekend system. 

The trend is definitely southeast right now for the weekend system, but let's wait till the first system clears before we throw in the towel completely...

52 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said:

18z euro is meh for RVA. Light event here. More significant in Hampton Roads. This might be one of those where HR gets hit hard while we get fringed. Seen that some before 

You all are getting worse then the northern crews, over analyzing these runs days in advance.

How about enjoy getting 3 events by the end of the month..

Hell we haven't even got past   Thursday's /Fridays event yet

7 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said:

I'd like to keep it just about where it is now . We don't need a huge move at this point,as long it's not crazy jog south or west...we are in a good spot for a decent to heavy event. 

Good thing more to most likely come after these two this month...

It's definitely an active pattern coming up ..We may not got the big one in any of these but a few shots of snow isn't bad at all considering.   

They are right where we want them for this time of the week...  The first storm will need to move through first to get a better hold of the weekend storm...  We are in a good place so far ...

Back to mostly snow/big Fatties in my part of Glen Allen  but prob won't last much  longer ... 

Yeah, kinda mixing in a bit when it slows down, prob will go back and forth for a little while yet.... Before the real changeover

Yep, mixing here in Glen Allen no real surprise... At least the dusting was nice to look at .. saw a few deer's cut through my back woods .

Hopefully a nice set up from the next few storms 

2 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said:

Could anyone post the link to the co-efficient radar? Obviously going to be important to follow today 

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/conus_band.php?sat=G16&band=15&length=84&dim=undefined

Good water vapor loop here too

Nice steady band about to come in.... 

Traffic cams and Vcu cam!

https://www.weatherbug.com/traffic-cam/?latlng=37.43973,-77.42883

https://ramcam.vcu.edu/cary-street-field.html

Yeah, we definitely don't need that.. hopefully the warm air from the coast comes in quicker if that's now excepted

Slow/sleet line looks to be around  around Lewisville, NC at the moment with my untrained eye.. Gonna be a race now with the warm air racing in from the coast east to west.. Should get some flakes here right about 10Am or shortly after

9 minutes ago, GATECH said:

I need a cigarette after the last 5 minutes of this thread…19, dp7, wet Bulb 16.7.

time for boozy coffee with this stuff, love it!

 

Good choice.. I actually just went the old school bailey's and Irish whiskey/ whip cream rout... 

Snow on the doorstep here in Glen Allen,VA hopefully can take advantage of some good rates b4 the changeover down here

Already flipped in Charlotte & Raleigh NC looks like it had sleet at 26 /27 degrees

The backside of the storm could be interesting here if the temps can drop back down in time..

We done pretty well with storms in the past, when it's been able to...

Looks like the dry air \screw zone, is already trying to form for our area, on radar ..lol 

Front end could definitely over preform, the sooner it comes in the better for us.... doubting we will get much wrap around down here but the winds could actually help that happen a bit

Next weekend looking better, cold air definitely not looking to be the problem... We will see .

Hopefully power stays on for this storm... Looks  the winds  may become the big story when  it really wraps up. Gonna be a crazy few hours from 10-am to around 3ish around here tomorrow.. Then wind into Monday

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/conus_band.php?sat=G16&band=15&length=84&dim=undefined

^^^Here is a great view of it all "trying"  to come together...

Models have been basically saying, it won't be able to drop down enough to have enough reinforcing cold air pulled down into the storm in time & phase father southeast..

So, it's why the models are looking so strange with the path & why they are showing more warm air aloft being  pulled in and ending up father west...

Will be interesting to see how much actual snow we get around here... The sooner it gets here the better. Probably will be a sleet fest for a few hours let's just hope it dosnt start that way .. Definitely gonna be a crazy few hours of weather .. snow / sleet rain /wind .. Definitely could easily over preform (but most likely will be washed away) 

I was never in on this one at all from the beginning.. Hopefully this is the set up something bigger down the road / maybe around late next weekend or shortly after (at least the cold will be locked in a bit more then) 

 I agree, I don't think it's going to be a flash freeze either but depending on the timing and precip it could get messy for a period of time ..

Most likely case right now is  snow, to mix, to rain.. How long of each is the unanswered question that remains.

Track is going to make all the difference.

I personally can see a quick burst of snow then a sleet fest to rain... Being the most likely outcome.

Then a possibility of scattered ice on Monday night, for whatever is left remaining on the roads .. 

I don't think anyone can answer that yet.  Depending how much snow /mix to rain we exactly get.. temps will be rising as the storm gets closer.. then drop back down below freezing into Monday night