I think we have to give this to Thursday for a final outcome. That said a lot has to go right for this to be something major so I'm still leaning OTS. I really am not interested in a 997 low at the benchmark with rain & snow showers. Sent from my Lenovo TB-X605F using Tapatalk
The Euro being so consistent with being ots has me thinking that's probably what happens. I know the bias of holding energy back but unless it changes in the next day or so I think this is the outcome. Of course now that I say this it'll come west at 1pm. Sent from my GM1925 using Tapatalk
Thanks. We've seen some of these work out for us in the past. I'm just hoping based on the last two winters our luck hasn't run out for these types of systems. We all need at least a MECS to calm us down I think. Sent from my GM1925 using Tapatalk
Yeah. The track would work this time if year if there was some cold air in place. Relying on the storm to track perfectly and bomb to make its cold air is really threading the needle. Like you said especially with no NS interaction. Sent from my GM1925 using Tapatalk
The Euro still might have the highest verification but it is a lot less consistent. It flip flops more than it used to it seems. Not saying it's wrong but it doesn't seem as consistent from run to run anymore. Maybe it's the pattern it's having issues with. Sent from my GM1925 using Tapatalk
Even up near Maine it's down to 957 and still doesn't have much precip. You would think the NW side would have more even down by us. It starts off with more down near the gulf compared to last run but loses it as it comes up the coast while strengthening. Odd but it's the GFS. Sent from my GM1925 using Tapatalk
With that flow on the EPS it has no chance to come up the coast. Of course we still have a week to go so time for changes. Sent from my GM1925 using Tapatalk
I would never look at a r/s line this far out. Just pointing out what the Euro shows. Of course this could change as we get closer. Just no more cutters please. Sent from my GM1925 using Tapatalk
GFS seems to be flip flopping with each run with the storm for the 2nd. It's a cutter than of the coast, back to a cutter back to off the coast. Next run should be a cutter again. Sent from my GM1925 using Tapatalk
I get it. Weather basically runs in cycles. I know you don't want that cycle back but you'd think just based off luck 1 in 10 or 15 storms would ride that track we got so used to. Sent from my GM1925 using Tapatalk