Justicebork

Mixed bag in downtown Raleigh


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45 in downtown Raleigh under glorious clear skies


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Sleet near downtown Raleigh.


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Currently sleeting at North Hills in Raleigh.


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1 minute ago, Iceagewhereartthou said:

Looks like dewpoints right now across the NW upstate are running in the 20s, all the way SW to Clemson/Walhalla area where they hit the 30s. Looks like 23/24 all the way to GMU, 26 here in Easley, 27 Pickens Airport. That is lower than i was expecting for today. Could figure in later for ground temps once that colder push starts.

I am very proud of this forum.  After 5 days and 4500 posts, this is the first mention of ground temps. 

GFS takes a torch to everything at hr 60.

As per usual, Wake and Mecklenburg Counties are your battlefields.  Any forecaster who is bullish or bearish on either metro area is putting up a front.

What a disaster.

GFS says nice knowing you, Wilmington and Jacksonville; and you'll love the new New Bern and Kinston.

It finally starts meandering SW towards N Myrtle at 72.

GFS is just sitting and spinning over Wilmington for hours - on shore.

GFS not anticipating much from Florence in the way of snowfall.

3 minutes ago, Jet Stream Rider said:

Its a misleading graphic, and I think they should change the way they present that information because it will confuse most of the general public. Why show 5% chances in that manner? The information could still be reported, but not in such an alarming and confusing manner.

Its very useful as a business owner.  I'm getting my trucks off the road at noon tomorrow.

This cane is destined to become the first tropical cyclone to cross the equator or something

And there she goes, pressing SW along the coast starting at 84 -still offshore at 96.

Just now, CaryWx said:

So you're telling me I should put the top up on the convertible?

Yes, and put the plants out.

NAM - Florence stalls out east of Wilmington at 42 and refuses to budge for the rest of the run. There will be moisture.

18z HWRF is a landfall at N Myrtle at hour 60.  It pushes WSW into South Carolina from there.

18z HMON is a Wilmington landfall at 63, moving on to Charlotte.

GFS stalls the center over Lumberton and provides a nice cooling drizzle for the Piedmont and Coastal Plain.  

Very interested to see the rainfall totals from Wilmington to RDU with this one.

Am I seeing this right?  The GFS stalls it 100 miles offshore where it bombs out before looping around and making landfall south of Hatteras at 162 as a 918 mb incendiary device.  OK then. 

Come on GFS take this thing wide right.

HWRF also has a significantly stronger storm at landfall.

Looks like the HMON wants to stall it over Goldsboro/Greenville.

6z GFS says that, yes, you should evacuate your parents immediately.  This poster agrees, thinking "better safe than sorry."  

I wish we knew where to take them, though.  Maybe DC.

The battered wife syndrome on display from our Wake County posters right now is strong to quite strong.


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It really is remarkable - the German model's Wake County snow hole looks just like a territorial map of Western Europe at the height of the Battle of the Bulge.