MoWeatherguy

February going out with a little bang.   Heavy, wet snow falling out right now. 

Winter Storm Warning now for NW corner of AR.  SW MO not a warning dut to not meeting their criteria which is 6+ inches. 

Yes could be significant in those areas.  Even taking away 2/3 of that yields 4-5 inches in the heavier bands. 

12z NAM and 0z Euro are pretty impressive.  

Surprised by the lack of comments on here about this upcoming snow event.  Albeit to affect a pretty small part of this region.  Something to pay attention to, though, with some possible heavy banding. 

Euro is an outlier this far south for now but sure looks nice. 

4 minutes ago, NwWhiteOut said:

How much did you get up that way from this? I'm guessing 3" here on the ground now, looks to end pretty soon

2" max here. 

6 minutes ago, NwWhiteOut said:

Yea Tulsa's write up was mentioning that about the second wave of energy tom. Morning. I'm actually surprised on this one though lol, I was expecting flurries at best haha

Yah we're lucky to get what we did today.  Hopefully more to come in the next few weeks. 

Looks like the AR River valley might cash out the most. 

Morning runs of GFS and NAM look decent. 

I still think most of us are still good for that 2-3 inches.

19 minutes ago, MUWX said:

Should be fully sampled for the 0z runs. Don’t believe it was for 12z but not positive. 

KNWA Dan Skoff said on a FB live show an hour ago it wasn't fully sampled until tonight.  They're going with a general 2-4 for now.  But banding could produce more in some areas. Also said based on soundings flakes could be sizeable. 

Morning runs are settling in on a general 2-3" snow across a lot of this region.  NAM a bit more banded and juiced up.  Waiting on Euro.

I think modeling will keep jumping around until sometime tomorrow.  It's not even onshore on the Pacific coast yet.  But I do believe most of N AR OK and MO are out on anything big.

Maybe we'll get a couple of inches.

Even the Ukie looks good. FWIW.

4 minutes ago, The Waterboy said:

Well, the Euro sucks again.  

Interesting battle between the Euro and everyone else.  Hoping it's wrong but I wouldn't bet against it.

I see you 12z GFS.  I like your trend this morning.  Let's keep it going!

15 minutes ago, JoMo said:

Looks like Lucy is up to her old tricks again. Even more dry and almost a non-event on the 00z Euro tonight. 

Insanity.   Even the Ukie has a nice snow showing up tonight, along with the GFS.

45 minutes ago, MUWX said:

Coming out of this stretch with nothing but a couple dustings is hard to do, but it appears that is what I am about to do. Pattern looks very boring after Sunday too. 

Yah just a waste.   Cold and dry is the worst. 

24 minutes ago, MUWX said:

I expect the strong push of cold air to continue to push this south. I don’t expect much of anything in southern Missouri, and I’d be pretty nervous if I was in northern Arkansas. 

Was thinking the same thing.  Miss north then miss south.  SMDH.

What's up with this south trend?  Central AR getting hammered on models now. 

I would expect Friday totals to ramp up once the models catch up to this arctic air surging in. 

My money is on the 12z GFS.  I'll take that 26" bullseye of snow over NWA.

The pattern looks ripe for some winter events the next couple of weeks.   That's about all we know.  I think we're in a good spot based on recent events.   Maybe one will be a big hit.