Hailstoned
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Posts posted by Hailstoned
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Hurricane forecasting: Cone of Probability. "Stable Genius" as weatherman: Conehead of Improbability.
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Gusty line just gone through, Monson, MA-- heavy rain, occasional lightning including one earth thumping cloud to grounder.
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1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said:
I was reading a town history from the late 1800s. It included several June snow events plus a big freshet in 1869.
i knew about the 1816 June snow but hadn’t been aware of any others.
October, 1869; Saxby's gale in that it was predicted by Saxby, a British naval officer, using calculations based on moon patterns. Aside from devastating gales from southern New England to the Maritimes (Where it made landfall as a full-fledged hurricane) its "freshet" caused widespread 55 flood type damage; for one taking out the mill that used to exist on the stream that flows through my property in Monson; and its winds taking down the steeple of the First Church in town; a feat repeated twice more thanks to the 38 Hurricane, and the 2011 tornado.
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3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:
Going to go against Will on this one lol with something I never do predict what a model will do. Euro trends colder all levels. Probably be wrong but my big gut is saying time for the Euro to step up. Speaking of gut we need an @weathafellamassive dump to kick this into high gear. Enjoy the snow ice and sleet kids no matter what you get, better than the bare ground I am looking at right now (lots of dust in the air today too) oh yea let's not forget full moon goon. Another to add to the list
AND it's a super moon; AND it's a full eclipse. Lot's of twists and turns ahead, and likelihood for memorable mayhem.
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1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said:
Public wasn’t really made aware until around 36 hours out (or less). The model(wasn’t there just one at the time) did well,
It was one of those situations where the info was available and disseminated, but many paid little heed, despite the big January storm of a few weeks previous. Kind of like 38, it's hard to buy the seemingly improbable until you're wading in it, thigh deep.
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3 hours ago, dendrite said:
93 was like a massive global 3 stream deal. Even the coarse models back then were able to sniff it out from 5 days out. I don't recall 78 being a great long lead forecast. Sounds like yore to me.
78 announced itself with plenty of fanfare. The models (and W.D.) were on to it days in advance.
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1 hour ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:
I see, I only saw a few films of the franchise, I am not much of a reader believe it or not, but I love the art of writing.
To master the art of writing, you must worship at the altar of reading.
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Finally, a good one in Monson, MA where the summer rains have not been all that generous. Active yellow/purple gust front, some vivid cloud to ground, and an intense downpour that continues.
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1 hour ago, Great Snow 1717 said:
As usual he is wrong. He has forgotten the mess the country was in when Obama took office. And he has forgotten and/or ignoring the fact that the vast majority of recessions have occurred when a republican has been in office. Here is today's safest bet....I bet he enjoyed the recovery in his 401K account during the Obama years. I highly doubt he donated the gains to charity to make a point against Obama. The money is still festering in his 401K account. And when the next recession hits his 401K account will be TORCHED!!
Termite in the Board
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4 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:
I don’t know your personal lawn situation. But lawns need to be fertilized. It’s not open for discussion. If you want grass and not an undesirable eyesore that neighbors and passers by don’t laugh at. If you’ve got weeds. You’ve got to weed and feed
Never fertilized and never shall. Cut only as needed, and it's patchwork as I try to preserve blooming wildflowers. I have both an artesian well and property by a stream. A whole ecosystem including human, lives downstream.The rewards of minimal invasiveness: A variety of grasses, wildflowers, leopard frogs, snakes, dragon flies, fireflies, brook trout... far more lively a landscape than the chemically shepherded, monochrome green of the typical lawn squire. There are many passing by diverse, nature friendly yard spaces who will tip their caps as opposed to laughing. 50 years from now-- hopefully sooner-- the Round-Up mentality of the typical lawn squire will be seen in the same self-destructive light as we now see smoking. (Oh, and many weeds, not least the dandelion are both nutritious and therapeutic.)
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13 hours ago, mreaves said:
Be prepared to be beaten down, tough I am more on this side of things than the lawn kings side.
Prepared. But it needs to be said. For the sake of the homogeneous green carpet, there is endless noise pollution, gas emissions, chemical pollution, run-off into bodies of water leading to weed explosion/eutrophication; endangerment of beneficial and beautiful insects such as buttterflies; fireflies, bees... As this article mentions, there are better ways to have a yard, and, a natural wonderland as a bonus. The language may be a little dramatic in spots, but the points are well made.
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As wx people, presumably lovers of nature and sensitive to the dangers of climate change, this read should be informative:
https://earther.com/lawns-are-an-ecological-disaster-1826070720
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Got the suck-model, come-on blues. NAM, HRR, all the rest, dressed up like tarts in Canal Street display windows-- all for 2 inches of cheap thrills....
Suckered. Never again...
Winter 2019-2020 Discussion
in New England
Posted
I've got a battery that drives an electric chain saw-- am equally impressed and will never use a gas powered one again-- and also powers any other small size yard equipment made by that company. In addition, I've been using an electric powered rider mower that runs on conventional car batteries, and has plenty of charge to handle in one mowing, a couple of acres of lawn on varied terrain.