ValpoVike
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Everything posted by ValpoVike
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Big time back off in the 12z GFS for the southern areas for sure, but the Larimer/Boulder foothills had essentially zero change. Around 16" for this area, while the 00z Euro shows 10-12", but I don't believe it at all unless this comes in colder. But the models have been trending colder for Monday, so we'll see.
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May 17th/18th 2017. Something over 3 feet according to spotter reports. I didn't even bother trying to measure. The next day IIRC was about 70 degrees and it melted instantly LOL. But tree damage galore. My personal latest snow I've ever seen coming out of the sky was a long time ago (1997 or 1998 I think) when I lived in the Ohio snowbelt in Chardon, OH. I teed off on a round of golf in the morning during the first week of June with light snow falling.
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For my location, both models are showing more snow than I care to see, and it has been consistent enough that I am starting to pay attention. I have a lot of trees and my cottonwoods are leafed out now. Rain would be fantastic…
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Yeah, WTF. Yesterday morning, ECMWF was pretty bullish while the GFS was meh except for the mountains. They seemed to have reversed positions today. Who knows if we get snow, but good moisture looks more and more likely. I'm kind of cheering for rain rather than snow. That last storm was enough for me for the (extended) season.
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I hope it is all gone by tomorrow. Snow in May is great moisture but it needs to go away LOL
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Here is a pic from my window this morning. Snow is too heavy for my Polaris Ranger to plow, so really hoping for some sun today.
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After 3 swipes of the snowboard yesterday and today - final tally 19.5” here. Perhaps another inch coming this morning but it is winding down here. What a great storm.
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Amazingly, at 11" now. Snowfall rates are picking up too. This storm is definitely delivering for Larimer County.
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About 8” now, and power went out an hour ago. The trees are already drooping a lot.
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I already have 4 inches and it is really coming down. The NWS increased my point forecast and is now up to 26” today thru tomorrow.
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Yeah I am getting a nice soaking 0.23”/hour steady rain. Temp is down to 40.
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Buzzkill. But do feel free to give me a told ya so tomorrow
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I’m gonna be super pissed if the weather gods pull this one away.
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I am just outside of Estes and it is trending towards quite a dumping. But May has had some big storms in the past. May 17th 2017 was particularly impressive, and up here I picked up 40” over the course of 2 days. This storm likely won’t come close, but someplace in Larimer County could get 20”+ as it looks currently. i have a ton of trees on my property that I worry about with May snows, but this year that feels like an easy trade.
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The 12z Euro went bonkers too.
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Meanwhile, the 12z GFS agrees. Either both are off their rocker, or the foothills and divide are gonna get rocked. Either way, the models all seem to be trending in the right direction and I am starting to get cautiously optimistic.
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My experience of many years in the foothills - early May storms excite me. But that is a foothills perspective and setups like this in May usually have a steep accumulation gradient. All or nothing usually within 10 miles.
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The 12z GFS is still not backing off for the upcoming storm on Thursday-Friday, at least for the foothills. Regarding last night's precip, my snow melted fast this morning and my gauge recorded 0,40" in total including the rain yesterday. Not too bad and I am hoping that the next storm delivers whether it comes as rain or snow.
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I picked up 2” overnight which was a bit of a surprise. This on top of the 0.19” rain from earlier in the afternoon.
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It has been consistently there since last Thursday model runs.
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Both GFS and ECMWF are very bullish for next week. Here is a snippet of total snow thru Friday 5/1. We'll see....
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Muted a bit, but good to see that it did materialize.
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Yeah the models are already backing off. Sigh.
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The models seem (today) to be in good agreement on a good snowstorm for the foothills and Palmer divide on Friday. Hopefully, this one does not evaporate as we get closer.
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Yeah it’s been windier in the foothills than usual for sure. I lost 3 large and mature trees in December, and a couple of weeks later I lost a portion of fencing. Looking forward to eventual calm weather.
