Haha. I should have phrased the question differently.
Is it more likely to get a front end of, say, 5 inches then go over to sleet and/or freezing rain or face a foot of snow? He is responsible for a church and school, thus the concern.
Fwiw, Mt. Holly who covers up to my area in central Jersey, and Upton, who covers Staten Island, 1/4 mile from me, have both knocked down the max inches considerably.