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wisconsinwx

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Posts posted by wisconsinwx

  1. A factor in the uptick as well could be more mass events.  After most of the summer events were canceled (in terms of festivals) staples like Oktoberfest are going on in September, and I can tell you last weekend when I went my sister and I were about the only people wearing masks in the open-air pavilion.

  2. 3 hours ago, madwx said:

    2007-08 looks like a good analog.  Especially if La Nina gets a little stronger than progged.  Would take that winter and following severe weather season

    Yes, that's about the pinnacle in both respects, and temperatures weren't too extreme either way to boot both seasons.

    • Like 1
  3. 1 hour ago, Hoosier said:

    So we are looking at a La Nina of some strength... possibly a moderate peak.  Could be stronger than 2017-18 but not as strong as the one in 2010-11.

    In what is almost akin to a hell freezing over moment, Weatherbell/JB are going with a mild winter for the east.  But we are not exactly the east (for the most part) and while there is a mild risk, I'd rather be in our region.  

    Anyway, post your seasonal forecasts, discussions, etc here.

    Moderate La Nina...

    Nodding Head GIFs | Tenor

    • Like 3
  4. On 8/28/2020 at 8:47 AM, OrdIowPitMsp said:

    Every time we’ve gone through a dry stretch this summer and get added to D1 on the weekly monitor a line of storms will come through and drop around 1” which quickly catches us back up. 

     

    Weird that I’m rooting for below average precipitation but in the 4 years I’ve lived in Minnesota haven’t had a year below average.

    I'm surprised you've been in the D1 this summer.  It seemed like Minneapolis area had been getting patterns with steady once a week decent rains at least, similar to Milwaukee.  We have not been in D1 this warm season, and to be honest if there are two things we're due for in my locale it's drought and an ice storm.  I'd be thankful if we had neither in the next ten years.

    • Like 1
  5. Today was quite an interesting weather day.  Started warming up pretty quickly to 85F at the airport before a line of showers (and storms well to the north came through along with gusts to 35mph.  Tropical downpour or two.  Then a sunny, largely comfortable afternoon with two separate lake breeze fronts.  

    I was curious watching convection come into the picture in SW Wisconsin just south of the 94 corridor it appeared.  The northern storms went poof so concern for a dry front increased.  Out of nowhere around 5pm a big cell unzipped, I believe from the second lake breeze and dumped a half to a full inch in spots in N Milwaukee County. After that it was off to the races with more storms forming behind it pretty consistently along or near the I94 corridor.

    Ended up with 1-2” in much of the area.  UMB Wx got screwed though, no rain for him (time to get on the drought train, huh)?

    • Weenie 1
  6. I'm noticing a lot of haze today, and when I look at the satellite, the very vague cloud cover indicated looks indicative of smoke in the past.  Anyone else think it's smoke from wildfires to the west?  That may affect temps by a couple degrees, at least north of Chicago, today.  My thermometer is only 82.5F right now with almost full sun otherwise.

  7. 2 hours ago, Hoosier said:

    I'd feel pretty good about it in the metro area if those temps aloft pan out... especially with the recent dryness and more dry days coming.  Would probably be more questionable in outlying/rural areas.

    But I have a bad feeling that ORD is going to max at 98 or 99.  Lol <_<

    What do you foresee the max being for Milwaukee?  I still don’t see any 90s in the forecast but it’s darn close.  Hopefully weak flow so we get the lake breeze.

  8. 41 minutes ago, beavis1729 said:

    Interesting...the greater than normal disparity between ORD and MKE this season is probably because most of ORD’s 90+ days have been 90-92, combined with UHI. Where I am in SW Lake County IL, we’ve only had 12 days of 90+. A lot of days 87-89.

    Certainly part of it.  Having more days in July where storms developed with the heat of the day contributed to it as well.

  9. 4 hours ago, Chicago Storm said:

    90 at ORD (24) and here (22) today.


    .

    Meanwhile only 5 for MKE.  I'd be curious to see if there was ever even close to a 5:1 ratio in 90F days between Milwaukee and Chicago with a large sample size (I'm sure there has been something on the order of 5 for ORD and 1 for MKE for a summer).

  10. Good thing that tornado warned part of the storm that went through Union Grove, WI has only been indicated to be straight line winds so far.  UMB Wx and I almost chose a park about 3 miles ENE to be our viewing spot.  Would’ve been really nervewracking being stuck in the heavy convection not knowing if an actual tornado was rain-wrapped in it.

  11. 21 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

    Easily a top severe wind event for me, it went from relative calm to absolute peak so damn fast, every one of the large trees outside my office building came down at the same time as a wall of gray hit.

    Did the wind start before, at the onset or after the rain started?  For us it was probably five to ten minutes after the heavy rain that the wind really kicked in.

  12. UMB Wx and I are camped out in our cars in N Racine County, just off I94 about two miles south of the Milwaukee County border.  Any signs concerning about that radar indicated tornado near Lake Geneva?  We could be in its path but it is no doubt rain wrapped. 

  13. 17 hours ago, Stebo said:

    Their population density is about 25% of ours and they don't have a city even close to the density of all the major cities here. Not to mention their medical system and insurance is much better than here.

    Nice illustration of why comparing our situation to that of New Zealand and successful European countries like some are doing is ill-advised as well.

    • Like 1
  14. 13 hours ago, hawkeye_wx said:

    I can't recall even one overnight MCS this summer.  Most summers we get much of our rain overnight.

    I take it you’re pleased about that?  I certainly can’t complain about no overnight MCS action that keeps me up when I should be sleeping.

    • Like 1
    • Confused 1
  15. 14 hours ago, Stebo said:

    The problem with doing it in those areas, which are mostly rural, if an outbreak does happen you immediately exacerbate the limited medical facilities and testing in those areas.

    He’s right though, I bet that church wasn’t following common precautions like mask wearing.  I think if schools opening do follow precautions like that it will be manageable. 

  16. 17 minutes ago, dta1984 said:

    Just saw Ohio is mandating masks for k-12 kids.  I believe that's a bit extreme, and could pose other risks of illness with masking other bacteria a kid normally has around their mouth and nose.  

    Mask use as frequently as possible is probably how we can reopen schools, with the exception of those who suffer from asthma and other issues that may be worsened by wearing a mask.  Having an option for remote learning for those students could be pondered, along with those with more at-risk parents or guardians.

    • Like 2
  17. 18 minutes ago, Baum said:

    The better half is second grade school teacher. She's looking forward to going back. She understands that there is some risk of the staff contracting the virus. Less chance of the children becoming seriously ill.  The hope is the measures put in place; distancing,masks, temp checks, open air classes when possible minimize those risks. She believes remote learning for elementary school and special ed levels is something that does not work. Her time in the spring spent via remote learning and class prep and teacher/parent/student communication even with maximum effort has left students a half year behind compared to where they would be. She knows the children that are coming in this fall  will not be as prepared they normally would be. In the end, she feels the children's need to learn in as normal a classroom setting outweighs the risks that surely exist. Personal note. I commend her courage, and am proud of her.

    Fauci is on the side of careful in person learning too, dependent on magnitude of the spread.  I would say I agree with his assessment, and hopefully this opens other’s minds if they are averse to any in-person learning.

    https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.wfla.com/community/health/coronavirus/dr-fauci-lends-support-for-reopening-schools-in-person-learning/amp/

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