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Posts posted by chapelhillwx
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7 minutes ago, Grayman said:
18z NAM keeps dancing around. At 29 in the gulf and jumped straight north at 30
I think it’s just where the algorithm says the low is. If you look at the MSLP contours it stays more consistent
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Yeah this forum is pretty Raleighcentric or at least Trianglecentric. I moved to the Atlanta area in 2017 from NC and where I am in the northern suburbs this has a good shot at being the only decent event since 2018.
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8 hours ago, burgertime said:
Damn @Brick Tamland how you been here for this long and still copy and paste the same responses?
Well, seems there are different solutions on the models. We just need to wait and see.
Euro shows snow. Seems like a good run.
If the low tracks just a bit east, it would give a lot of folks more snow.
Need the low to go east to have more snow east.
East to go more snow east snow east snow east.
00001111100110110101010111 OUTPUT ERROR 0001011010110010101010
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Just now, BullCityWx said:
It seems like the epicenter of about eight model runs has focused on Alamance/Orange/Durham north of 40/85 plus the border counties.
My dad’s property is just north of 40 in chapel hill and he hasn’t had any trees down since the 2002 storm. 20 years to grow back this could be pretty bad.
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Almost noon in Woodstock GA, temp 24. Very tiny flurries.
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5 minutes ago, tarheelwx said:
I think it has more to do with Wake being such a large county. The WWA makes sense in the northwest part of the county, but not so much in the southern part. However, it is fairly uncommon to split a country for winter advisories and warnings.
TW
Yep, although GSP does it for Greenville and Spartanburg counties in SC. The northern part is 2000+ elevation and the extreme south is almost like the SC Midlands.
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HRRR total ice through hour 22, at this point it's pretty much over in NC.
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7 minutes ago, wncsnow said:
I would let you on the ark but we already have a jackass
Ok that was funny. Hope your ark is sturdy, I don't think we will ever rebuild from it being somewhat wet the next couple weeks!
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HRRR at end of run with ZR ongoing, same frame BullCity posted above
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1 hour ago, wncsnow said:
I think flooding along the Red River, Mississippi River and others could be really bad this spring
Ok Noah!
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Bring the mojo! Now before this thread gets into full swing I hope we can spare everyone the discussion about how much each poster does or doesn't want an ice storm... the weather doesn't care whether you want it or not and honestly neither does the forum
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9 minutes ago, ILMRoss said:
The early January 2017 bust still looms large in everyone’s minds. Me and some met buddies who were gearing up for 6-12 to close out our last semester got a night of cold rain, and basically every office/media org had to put out some overwrought mea culpa on what they got wrong. My point is that bust still ignites a pretty visceral reaction and media/NWS will likely be ultra conservative in any setup that mirrors it. I mean, I don’t remember how this forum was but I can tell you the meteorology group chat I was in was absolutely melting down. So that event I believe still colors and frames a lot of expectations around here.
I remember that well. I was heading back to grad school in Winston-Salem but decided to stick around Chapel Hill because it looked like they'd be bullseyed. Whoops.
Anyway fingers crossed, the trends from the 6z guidance seemed to put the northern ATL burbs (in which I unfortunately live now) in play.
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Flurries in Woodstock GA all morning!
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Lol Athens GA mini jackpot zone on the NAM.
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No idea but it's snowing here in Woodstock! Just flurries so far, for anyone wondering Woodstock is 30 miles or so NW of ATL
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38 and rain/sleet in Blue Ridge GA!
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38 per car thermo in Blue Ridge GA, getting rain/sleet mix now. May have intentionally scheduled client meetings up here today. Lol
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Flurries just started in Woodstock GA!
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Flurries in Cobb County this morning and now in norcross in the ATL area!
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2 minutes ago, downeastnc said:
Second storm just west of Chapel Hill is awful hooky ......
I’m visiting home just NW of Chapel Hill proper, watching closely
Winter Storm Izzy Obs Thread
in Southeastern States
Posted
Not really much accumulation but trying to get a dusting in Woodstock GA atm. 32.5F. Basically nice snow TV, NWS and HRRR say 1-2” today hopefully.