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chapelhillwx

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Posts posted by chapelhillwx

  1. 8 hours ago, burgertime said:

    Damn @Brick Tamland how you been here for this long and still copy and paste the same responses?  

     

    Well, seems there are different solutions on the models. We just need to wait and see.

    Euro shows snow. Seems like a good run.

    If the low tracks just a bit east, it would give a lot of folks more snow.

    Need the low to go east to have more snow east.

    East to go more snow east snow east snow east.

    00001111100110110101010111 OUTPUT ERROR 0001011010110010101010

    • Haha 1
  2. Just now, BullCityWx said:

    It seems like the epicenter of about eight model runs has focused on Alamance/Orange/Durham north of 40/85 plus the border counties.

    My dad’s property is just north of 40 in chapel hill and he hasn’t had any trees down since the 2002 storm. 20 years to grow back this could be pretty bad. 

  3. 5 minutes ago, tarheelwx said:

    I think it has more to do with Wake being such a large county.  The WWA makes sense in the northwest part of the county, but not so much in the southern part.  However, it is fairly uncommon to split a country for winter advisories and warnings.

    TW

    Yep, although GSP does it for Greenville and Spartanburg counties in SC. The northern part is 2000+ elevation and the extreme south is almost like the SC Midlands. 

    • Like 1
  4. 9 minutes ago, ILMRoss said:

    The early January 2017 bust still looms large in everyone’s minds. Me and some met buddies who were gearing up for 6-12 to close out our last semester got a night of cold rain, and basically every office/media org had to put out some overwrought mea culpa on what they got wrong. My point is that bust still ignites a pretty visceral reaction and media/NWS will likely be ultra conservative in any setup that mirrors it. I mean, I don’t remember how this forum was but I can tell you the meteorology group chat I was in was absolutely melting down. So that event I believe still colors and frames a lot of expectations around here.

    I remember that well. I was heading back to grad school in Winston-Salem but decided to stick around Chapel Hill because it looked like they'd be bullseyed. Whoops.

     

    Anyway fingers crossed, the trends from the 6z guidance seemed to put the northern ATL burbs (in which I unfortunately live now) in play.

    • Like 1
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