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winter_warlock

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Everything posted by winter_warlock

  1. Yup. Ur right. Looks like GFS is literally identical to 18z... At least it didn't go south lol
  2. A definite shift north on Icon compared to 18z.
  3. Yeah nam has it in central va by 12 z!! Which is like 7 am lol
  4. Trend compared to 18z. Definitely a move north!! Hope trend continues!!
  5. So far 00z nam looking more robust a bit to my untrained eye compared to 18z.
  6. The two weeks that followed were the best 2 weeks I've ever had in any winter!!!
  7. I would really hate to see this cold pattern with an MJO phase 7-8-1 without a nice snowstorm!! Seems like a waste
  8. I'd like to see more model support then just the cmc before I get on board lol
  9. Ohh. It looked like sarcasm to me. Oops lol
  10. I'm definitely picking up ur sarcasm lol
  11. LWX mentions the next 2 chances... Model guidance is in relatively good agreement that a low amplitude shortwave embedded in west-southwesterly flow aloft will track across the Tennessee Valley toward the southern Mid-Atlantic during the day on Friday. Meanwhile, high pressure will be in the process of retreating offshore. While models are in agreement that this general pattern will unfold, there are still some discrepancies with respect to how far north precipitation will make it, and also what the precipitation type will be. The majority of solutions have cold air in place at the surface, which would favor wintry precipitation (either a wintry mix or snow). However, there are some solutions that show rain across southeastern portions of the forecast area. Overall, precipitation totals should be on the lighter side. Depending on the track of the system, a couple inches of snow or a light wintry mix may be possible across portions of the forecast area Friday afternoon into Friday night. We`ll continue to monitor this system over the coming days. Dry, but chilly conditions are expected across the area this weekend. High temperatures are forecast to be in the upper 30s and lower 40s, with low temperatures in the 20s. Forecast confidence decreases significantly by Monday, with some solutions developing an area of low pressure nearby as a shortwave trough moves through aloft. Other solutions maintain dry conditions.
  12. I gotta move , lol my sister in Rayville,Md (northern Baltimore county)always gets a little more snow then me here in eastern Baltimore county . My jealousy will get me to move up there lol.. of course with my luck if I move up there then southern parts will get more lol
  13. Dude its only November 30th!!!, relax we got a long way to go!!
  14. Well as long as ur looking forward to it
  15. Well it's a week away and it's the cmc lol
  16. Umm. I must be seeing something else cause I didn't see the same thing Unless I'm looking at it wrong lol
  17. I'd be flipping estatic if it wasn't 282 hours away lol but at least it's another one to track. And this one seem colder
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