winter_warlock

Said no woman ever ! Lol

Baby steps!!

It's all good bro.

Looking at the date on that snowfall map I'm gonna say total snowfall

Holy crap!! Now that's early!! Lol

Wow I thought it was kinda early for him. But after the string of horrible snow starved winters that a lot of us had .. who can really blame him lol TBH!

Yes it is

Lmaoo 3 days in ( only 72 hours since November ended )and someone already ready to throw in the towel on this winter lol

Yup. Ur right. Looks like GFS is literally identical to 18z... At least it didn't go south lol

A definite shift north on Icon compared to 18z.

Yeah nam has it in central va by 12 z!! Which is like 7 am lol

Trend compared to 18z. Definitely a move north!! Hope trend continues!!

Agreed!!

So far looks better. Baby steps!!

Nam thru hour 30. Compared to 18z

So far 00z nam looking more robust a bit to my untrained eye compared to 18z.

The two weeks that followed were the best 2 weeks I've ever had in any winter!!!

Just Keep a creeping northp plzzz.!

I would really hate to see this cold pattern with an MJO phase 7-8-1 without a nice snowstorm!! Seems like a waste

More north! Baby steps!!

I'd like to see more model support then just the cmc before I get on board lol

Ohh. It looked like sarcasm to me. Oops lol

I'm definitely picking up ur sarcasm lol

LWX mentions the next 2 chances... Model guidance is in relatively good agreement that a low amplitude shortwave embedded in west-southwesterly flow aloft will track across the Tennessee Valley toward the southern Mid-Atlantic during the day on Friday. Meanwhile, high pressure will be in the process of retreating offshore. While models are in agreement that this general pattern will unfold, there are still some discrepancies with respect to how far north precipitation will make it, and also what the precipitation type will be. The majority of solutions have cold air in place at the surface, which would favor wintry precipitation (either a wintry mix or snow). However, there are some solutions that show rain across southeastern portions of the forecast area. Overall, precipitation totals should be on the lighter side. Depending on the track of the system, a couple inches of snow or a light wintry mix may be possible across portions of the forecast area Friday afternoon into Friday night. We`ll continue to monitor this system over the coming days. Dry, but chilly conditions are expected across the area this weekend. High temperatures are forecast to be in the upper 30s and lower 40s, with low temperatures in the 20s. Forecast confidence decreases significantly by Monday, with some solutions developing an area of low pressure nearby as a shortwave trough moves through aloft. Other solutions maintain dry conditions.

More rain lol