winter_warlock

Gfs hr 132

Gfs hr 126

00z ICON

The best winter storm I ever saw was the blizzard of 79. Presidents Day storm no 1 .. I was only 12 at the time... At the height of the storm bwi got 17 inches in 5 hours.. snowfall rates of 3.5 inches an hour. I remember waking up about 3 am looking outside and it was snowing so hard the whole street was lit up. I was 12. And even after all the storms I've seen since.... I still haven't seen it snow as hard as it did in that storm. I remember my next door neighbor measured 24 inches. That blizzard is what got me hooked on the weather and meteorology. Been studying it ever since

FWIW..... JMA. Hour 144 and 168

One thing I have learned the last 15 years being with AmericanWx..... Ji doesn't sugar coat anything!!

Well Randy u might wanna cross ur fingers bro just in case..... And a prayer wouldn't hurt lol

Not bad at all considers is 6 days out

Euro AIFS

The mountains get snow this run

What difference 12 hours makes rainy this run

Wow that creeped up quick. But I still wouldn't worry about thermal profiles till we're withing 72 hours especially with the ICON

Looks good for being 7 to 8 days out!

Icon at 120. Big slug of moisture primed in the gulf!!

A thing of beauty!!

Interesting look.... FWIW. Something to maybe watch 10 days out...

Me too lol

A model 1100 hours out is as reliable as the Jets are at winning lol

It's only a thousand hours out... How wrong could it be lol

45 day snow maps are as reliable as my first wife was faithful lol

From Meteorologist Mike Masco... FWIW FULL BLOCK SETTING UP AS WE HEAD INTO DECEMBER? The latest European weekly run is flashing a very intriguing signal: a robust ridge building along the West Coast, arcing through Alaska, and extending all the way toward Greenland. That kind of alignment is classic high-latitude blocking, and it typically forces the entire jet stream to buckle south. When that happens, colder air is free to spill into the eastern half of the U.S. while storm systems ride along a more energized southern branch. What’s even more interesting is the early suggestion of a Southeast ridge trying to flex at times. That feature can act as a pivot point—sometimes enhancing moisture return, sometimes redirecting storm tracks, and occasionally helping to “trap” systems along the East Coast. It’s the kind of tug-of-war setup that can produce some very dynamic nor’easter development if timing lines up. Not to sound cliché because it feels like we say this every year… but based on the weeklies, this is legitimately one of the strongest early-season pattern setups I’ve seen at this range. If the blocking verifies, December could open with a bang. I'll mention this a little on PIX 11 News Morning Show between 7-10am and over the weekend.

Major stratospheric warming event going on.. usually means in about 2 to 3 weeks cold train coming! We will see!!

06z GFS still has the Nov 18-20 event. Doesn't look like anything big but Something interesting to watch

Great song!!!!

I personally try to stay away from politics.. never good lol someone always gets offended lol