Joe4alb

2 minutes ago, Tatamy said:

FWIW the 12z HRRR is running and looks quite similar to the 6z run.  Like you said the 18z run will provide a better look at the evolution of this convection.

12z definitely south of the 6z run

5 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

Gfs gonna come northwest 

Icon took a step toward yesterday's Euro with the missed capture allowing the high to build back north and this bending Leer back to the NW right into Cape Cod

Eye is shrinking rapidly, another sign of intensification..

amazing structure....

geesh

Just something to consider. If Ian dumps as much rain as forecasted, this may not weaken as much as we would normally expect as it moves across FL(seen this happen in the past). This could have serious implications for the GA/SC/NC coast down the line. 

That eye wall looks more ominous now then it did an HR ago... Good grief 

another site getting overloaded..

31 minutes ago, justinj said:

Anyone have totals from Hampton bays area?

Over 20" from several family members there 

Just now, Rjay said:

Let's reel this one in for Joe's dad.  

He's loving every minute of it. I will never forget, blizz 96 he put his hand on my shoulder and said "you wanted it kid, you got it!"

Thanks everyone! Now let's take this to the history books!

My father passed away this morning, and he was the inspiration that got me into weather. We used to sit and chat about every storm for hours. This storm is him saying goodbye. 

Just now, Jt17 said:

Totally eyeballing it but it seems to scoot the precip field 30-40 miles west and it's more intense overall...

Uhmmm yeah

How does it look for eastern LI?

NAM looks great at H5

0z GFS just told the 18z NAM "hold my beer"

Looking at H5 through 36hrs the GFS didn't look any better if not a bit worse.

Just now, Brasiluvsnow said:

what time does the GFS run ?

Running now