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TalcottWx

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Everything posted by TalcottWx

  1. Snowfall I would agree. Somewhere from you to me likely. Doubt we get it. Would make more since for it to be west of BOS. Either way, anyone SE of that fronto sees over a foot. BOS would get crushed too. Specifically talking 700mb dump age.
  2. The fact the goalposts are narrowing toward a major hit is impressive. Need to monitor 1. forward speed/stall? 2. Effects on astronomical high tide and timing. To me those two things are what keeps this from historic status.
  3. I've been learning option trading this year. It's amazingly similar in some ways. When you buy try and evaluate a stock it feels like you are forecasting for a snowstorm to hit every Friday (weekly option expiration). The stock direction is similar to snowfall amounts. Your job to look at technical analysis and sentiment/sort of like picking apart model bias. Predict what is coming based off experience. That's where the similarities end. Pro: you get a new chance to jackpot every week in markets con: there is real money on the line not snowfall. Doesn't destroy your family when you lose big. Model windshield wipers = bear/bull traps if you are not careful.
  4. Is there anything that can be derived by looking at some of the more obscure details of modeling? Like for instance the sref is a bomb and the arw is nothing. I know some of our Mets know the way models operate on a mechanical level. Maybe there is a known bias here. And it can give us a key to understanding how to play this.
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