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overcautionisbad

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Everything posted by overcautionisbad

  1. overcautionisbad
    Definitely not. We've already had 3 inches multiple times. The drought is 6. Anything less is just a minor nuisance to me. At this point I would just prefer it not snow.
  2. overcautionisbad
    Like I said the other day the science behind all of this must be severely flawed. Need a genius to start back on the drawing board. There must be something that has been missed that we will be mocked for 100 years from now. Because in any other field these kind of errors would be completely unacceptable.
  3. overcautionisbad
    What good is a model that tells me what is happening right now? I have windows
  4. overcautionisbad
    I dont know much about all this, but it seems to me just a small change in moisture really changes the accumulation totals on a cold storm like this. That makes me expect the short range model to pick up on that better then the Euro that swung from 22 inches to 3.
  5. overcautionisbad
    That's probably what everyone thought in 2018 too
  6. overcautionisbad
    Idk, felt like NAM got last week right when all else got it wrong
  7. overcautionisbad
  8. overcautionisbad
    Just remember WRIC has John Bernier and that guy is very experienced with this area.
  9. overcautionisbad
    I do after it nailed the last storm
  10. overcautionisbad
    Anyway, back to reality. John Bernier WRIC has a new map
  11. overcautionisbad
    Just had a thought. How funny would it be if we got 20 inches in RVA after all.
  12. overcautionisbad
    DT seems more confident I find it entertaining because he is right sometimes. He is just rather rude and obnoxious. He's been wrong a lot too. It's like he is never humbled by it. Lol
  13. overcautionisbad
    Just outside Richmond
  14. overcautionisbad
    Well, just remember in 2018 they forecasted 3-6 and I ended up measuring 15
  15. overcautionisbad
    I currently believe the NAM which had around 7 or 8. I'll continue to watch that
  16. overcautionisbad
    Just realized if it shifts NW DT is going to toot his own horn quite a bit. Lol
  17. overcautionisbad
    Some Richmond station maps
  18. overcautionisbad
    He seems to trust the NAM and some other short range models at this range. States low confidence in forecast. Im leaning around 6-8 myself right now.
  19. overcautionisbad
    Well, the NAM looked good
  20. overcautionisbad
    Dang, the models are so different now. I don't kniw what to believe
  21. overcautionisbad
    Ros Runner says he is watching to see if things shift back Northwest. Says it would happen in the next 24 hours if so. Guess we gotta keep an eye on it going into tomorrow.
  22. overcautionisbad
    Idk, seems like there has been a bunch of poofs in recent years
  23. overcautionisbad
    Yeah, honestly I could just look at radar the day before and talk to friends in the next state over the night before and guess for myself. Lol
  24. overcautionisbad
    Well, there you have it. All models have been an absolute joke in recent years. When it gets this close it doesn't do that much good. I can just look outside. I honestly think as just a layman that the science is flawed.
  25. overcautionisbad
    I'm going to laugh when the tv mets go "See, this is why we wait. RVA only getting 3 inches." Meanwhile the models come out today and tomorrow showing the NW shift. I'm no weather person, but I can see patterns They seem to avoid mentioning 2 days of model runs showing big numbers, but speak up the moment only 2 model runs show lower numbers.
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