nvck

11 hours ago, RogueWaves said:

And not 300+ hours away, lol

#lockingitin  (its 15mb weaker and a fifth of the snow on the new runs)

all-time weenie run for Mid-Michigan on the 6z gfs...

5 hours ago, RemoteSenses said:

Fire Up Chips! I initially started there for Meteorology but after one semester, it wasn't for me long-term. I ended up graduating with a degree in GIS tho which has a lot of overlap with the MET group.

fire up!! yeah fair, i know a lot of people who are doing a minor or double major with met and gis

only got down to 14 here, but winds stayed between 6-10mph all night. yesterday's freezing rain/drizzle event left a nice coating of ice on the roads and sidewalks, and the snow now has a nice crust of ice on it as well.

3 hours ago, Pellice said:

Recent arrival here, relocating from NJ to Cincinnati.  I was told there was less winter here!  5 inches Monday night, and now embedded in one of the more severe cold snaps I've experienced since 2018,  It's been some time since I've experienced more than a week when highs barely touched freezing.  

haha you should've been here last January, we had almost a foot in a 24hr span. 

Eyeing next tuesday-wednesday-thursday for the next possible system of note around here. GRR mentions a lot of uncertainty, but the west ridge being a little more amplified should allow for a sw or two to ride the ridge down to the GL area and maybe bring a couple inches of snow. Would be a nice send-off from Michigan 

EPS 24hr snowfall very cluttered in that timespan but that 2nd system, late on the 10th-11th, has been uptrending a little bit the past few runs. 

anyone know why NWS cleveland is issuing AFDs and other products for WIlmington? Been going on since Friday afternoon. staffing issue? 

Quote

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
Issued by National Weather Service Cleveland OH
521 AM EST Mon Dec 1 2025

Quote

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
Issued by National Weather Service Cleveland OH
802 AM EST Mon Dec 1 2025

should be a nice early-season event for parts of IN and OH that missed out on the past weekend's big one.

temp never really got below 34 here last night for any of the flurries to stick, then a changeover to rain stopped any hopes of accumulations. Still, really fun storm to track and I wasn't really expecting much down here anyways.

Looking less likely we'll get much of anything down here in s Ohio, although the GFS and nam are stubbornly holding onto a couple inches before some rain. Looking forward to seeing 6-8 on the ground headed back north, tho. 

slightly lower totals across the board, vs the 18z

new gfs maybe seems slightly south w/ the surface low?

3 minutes ago, beavis1729 said:

Hopefully the 18z EPS won’t show as much of a reduction in QPF…we’ll see I guess. 

There is a reduction from the 12z, but relative to the 6z and 0z, looks fairly similar

4 hours ago, CheeselandSkies said:

Mainly I'm annoyed that because of the way the trough has evolved vs. the GFS and Euro from 3 days ago, there's no outbreak threat anywhere, not even the Lower MS Valley/Dixie, to armchair chase while getting snowed in.

Some of the runs were showing upper-50s dews with solid vertical depth getting pulled as far north as northern KS on Sunday or Monday, in the presence of classic meathook hodographs.

we can't have our cake and eat it too...

20 minutes ago, Sciascia said:

84hr NAM (lol) but sharing as it’s reaching range. Run ends when snow is continuing to fall.

If snow really makes it to Cincinnati on Saturday .... I'd be shocked to say the least lol

24hour snow at o'hare from the 00z eps. Trended up vs the prior day's 00z and 12z runs, no members w/ less than 3" now.

35mph gusts at like 4:30 woke me up this am, lots of stressed people on campus (we still have class today) who have to drive either north or to the west side of the state

18z euro has a slightly stronger low, and a rain/snow line similar (slightly north) to the 12z. still sketchy if ur a chicago poster 

Just now, ChiTownSnow said:

I just figured it was an old map but when you look at the bottom right corner it's from today.

nothing but the best over there

13 minutes ago, ChiTownSnow said:

Not sure about this.AccuWeather..

think they might need to curve that arrow preeeeeeetty sharply in the opposite direction

Good to see some colors back on the map

1 minute ago, A-L-E-K said:

qc to green bay slp in the 1009-1004 range, idk man

recent track record with waa hits imby naso great

waiting on the euro in a couple hours, but between this run and the icon, its a good trend imo. keeps the rain/snow line south of i-94 in mi

new gfs looking good

Quote

The above is just to give a rough idea of the spectrum of
outcomes, which range from a light to moderate event on some of
the guidance members, to a bonafide snowstorm on a surprisingly
large % of members. Can`t ignore this despite it being far out

LOT AFD