nvck

sunday could have a legit hailer threat for a lot of the OV, 2k+ cape on the NAM & pretty steep lapse rates (7-8C/km)
 

9 hours ago, RogueWaves said:

I've lived back-to-back 220+ winters at my old home further north. It can and will give a guy cabin fever. Then there's his level of winter which is a whole other planet I don't want endure, lol.

haha, i bet. i'd like to experience it at least once in life. also crazy that he's seen an order of magnitude more snow this season than me, in the same state.

7 hours ago, weatherbo said:

You'd finally get your fill of snow!

This is what 5.5+ feet of snow looks like.
Pretty much standing in the same spot as the late August pic this past Summer.
Took some weight off the roof as well.  Inside the house is like a cave.
EDIT:  The lesser snow on the left side of the pic is a path i blew to the propane tank a few weeks back.

just insane, thanks for sharing. i don't think i can even imagine having so much snow on the ground, for such a long period of time.

76mph gust at KDAY

trending very unfavorably for central MI to get much of anything other than maybe a light glaze, and a couple inches of snow. sad

16 hours ago, cyclone77 said:

I used to love chasing back in the day, and did a decent amount of it.  I've completely lost interest in it over the past several years, just too many damn people out chasing now.  Takes all the fun out of it for me.  Maybe it's because I'm getting older and less aggressive?  Not sure, but I enjoy just watching it all unfold from home these days lol.

this is why, IMO, northern high plains is one of the best chasing regions in the country. sure the road networks are pretty sparse, but there's a fraction of the chasers as in the midwest/south plains, and the structure is insane.

Quick edit from pontiac, also got a ton of shots from this storm with my film camera, which'll be neat to get developed

Potential for an ice storm in lower MI seems high, a few runs of the euro have highlighted a swath of totals close to an inch somewhere in the middle of the LP

gif i made of some stills from a ~90sec video of the tornado in wheatfield yesterday. this was about 4 miles ESE of the city, looking northwest. the lightning was frequent enough to be able to pull a good amount of frames. 

7 hours ago, Chicago WX said:

This is the graph of my home weather station yesterday. You can see the lake breeze and then the recovery.

 

I know some people doing research w/ lake-breeze fronts and their influence on CI, this could be really useful for a case study 

15 hours ago, Radtechwxman said:

Did you get on storm later further east or did you see the Kankakee tornado and massive hail? We were on that storm by Pontiac. Got a brief touchdown with wickedly rotating wall cloud. Then storm just quit. We followed it a while. It got an elevated/outflow look and look terrible on radar and I figured it was getting into the more stable air north of boundary. We headed west and boy was that a mistake. One of my biggest chase mistakes of my career. This will sting a while. 

funnily enough, we did almost exactly the same thing. Got to Pontiac well before CI, hung out for a while and watched as that cell came up from the SW, went west of town and chased it through town. Didn't see the ground circulation on the touchdown, but wow that was some incredible motion on the wall cloud. Thought for sure it'd drop something big. Followed it east to Emington, and then the people I was chasing with wanted to head west, waiting for the Peoria cells to pop off. After getting back to Pontiac, we saw that cell really ramp back up on radar and absolutely booked it east, intercepting near Wichert IL, except by that point it was completely rain-wrapped, and we couldn't get ahead of it, so just followed it a few miles to the south until we finally got a couple miles east, where we saw the Wheatfield and Knox tornadoes. So no, missed the big Kankakee tor and mega-hail. Also missed the Lake Village tor (although we almost drove into it)

Also what I've heard from Kankakee from my friends who chased there was that a lot of chasers got kinda caught out, large/giant hail was being flung around, and smashing cars, lot of damage in those neighborhoods 

This was the Toto/Knox IN tor-e, just a screenshot from a video but not great quality. 

4 minutes ago, andyhb said:

Major damage in/near Lake Village IN with a report of 2 fatalities, multiple homes destroyed.

Damn, was headed that way but couldn't get in ahead of the cell so bailed south. 

2 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said:

TOG near Kankakee

Pic?

Was on that Pontiac cell as it went through town and made some stupid decisions and went back west after it seemingly elevated. Heading east towards IKK now, reports are appreciated if you've got a live view of it

14 minutes ago, Jackstraw said:

Better pick right, you may only have an hour or 2 to see anything. Personally I'd park it in Morocco IN, eat lunch and wait lol. 

Feeling p good, especially with the WF staying a couple dozen miles north. Hopefully ci in the next hour/two, don't really wanna chase after dark 

1 minute ago, King James said:

Don’t know but the day changed pretty instantly. It sucks outside now lol. Winds from the north, it’s definitely the lake

That checks, im heading to Pontiac but Ik people who were targeting Kankakee and are repositioning sw

8 minutes ago, King James said:

Temps just dropped pretty good where I am if that means anything. Kankakee area, 60954

Think wf might be going back south through the IKK metro? Someone's PWS on the north side had a drop from 68 to 48 in 30 minutes

hrrr finally got on board with the earlier/afternoon CI that other cams have had. probably targeting bloomington initially? maybe a bit north (like pontiac) as that seems to be the trend

looking good for a chase tomorrow, HRRR has 4.2k surface CAPE in IL which is just unreal...  agreed that the biggest question is just whether storms pop or not before 00/01z, to actually be able to see something while chasing
 

19 hours ago, nvck said:

The CSUMLP giveth, and the CSUMLP taketh

southwest michigan tomorrow looks pretty interesting, i can't lie

dealing with some flooding back home; don't think this bridge has an 8' clearance anymore!