BTRWx

2 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

Winter storm warnings in Montana.

I'm putting in a request to move this to the winter thread!

On 9/11/2017 at 2:12 PM, poolz1 said:

12z gefs certainly more west than previous runs

(Emphasis on July)

2012

2017

1 hour ago, Bob Chill said:

The last 3 years that featured cold neutral or weak nina with a -PDO are 08-09, 11-12, and 12-13. There are plenty more as you go back in time. 

This.

Also, the winter before all those seasons also sucked. #noexpectations

2 minutes ago, yoda said:

Well he posted the precip/SLP map... I posted the h5 map... and maybe lol

The more data I find to support winter anticipation, the more two-sided it seems!  How can this summer's 500mb pattern match 2009 so well when sst anomalies don't even come close?!  I'm stunned!

9 minutes ago, yoda said:

I see Amped posted the NAM in the main thread

 

At least you recognize the wrongdoing now.

It's going to take a tragedy to happen for these reporters to put safety first.  I have no sympathy anymore!

6 minutes ago, CTWeatherFreak said:

Isnt that why the two pics are collocated? 

Possibly, but they will do that for any storm-like sky.

11 hours ago, mappy said:

Matts post last night was hilarious and caused a string of 10 other posts to be deleted. 

What have we done!

54 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

^ stupid image cache strikes again.

18z was a significant shift west compared to 12z. It's coming and it's less than 10 days away!

I've been eyeing the ensemble trends. Intriguing!

Just now, Quincy said:

Latest SREF has quite a spread for potential hurricane/low center positions for early Sunday morning: 

Isn't that almost just as bad as the NAM for tropical systems?

1 minute ago, Stormpc said:

Saw the zwyts post. I got out before I read any comments but can only imagine what they said in response.  

Someone pm me

First! 

37 minutes ago, mappy said:

Nope. I think it's bc I'm just black ops, not a full mod. I can only hide or delete posts 

Time for a Promotion!

I'm putting this in banter, because it's an outdated scenario.  A family member of mine brought to my attention how close this clustered 18Z run I printed a few days ago is to the current official track!

Current NHC Cone

My 1 in 1,000,000

1 minute ago, mappy said:

 he knows that wont end well. 

If he doesn't I will!

1 minute ago, sauss06 said:

Its easier for me (a novice) to follow you guys in the mid-Atlantic then over on that main thread cluster puck 

I thought he was referring to our main thread at first LOL!

1 minute ago, mappy said:

oh man, main thread must a mess. 

be good guys... needed elsewhere  

Bad idea to move my post from here to there.

2 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

A state of emergency declaration at this point is bureaucratic paper shuffling.  And I say that as a bureaucrat.

 

It's definitely odd.

10 minutes ago, H2O said:

It would totally be a MA thing to turn a tropical thing into a winter thing.  How's the NAO look?  Siberian snow cover?  

How dare you omit ENSO!

Not exactly banter, but where else would it go? Fascinating report on Andrew! https://www.weather.gov/media/publications/assessments/andrew.pdf

eta: Donna might be more relevant. https://docs.lib.noaa.gov/rescue/hurricanes/Qc9452d6h81960.pdf

Here comes sequel Lee 3.0!

1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said:

It'll have to be. Billions are probably at stake. That's going to be a wild night. 

That might be true for property and media entertainment purposes.