BTRWx

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Posts posted by BTRWx

  3. Posted

    1 hour ago, Bob Chill said:

    The last 3 years that featured cold neutral or weak nina with a -PDO are 08-09, 11-12, and 12-13. There are plenty more as you go back in time. 

    This.

    Also, the winter before all those seasons also sucked. #noexpectations

  4. Posted

    14 hours ago, BTRWx said:

    I'm curious what people here think about my idea that Miami's storm surge in SE Florida was worse than where Irma made landfall on the FL Peninsula, because of being in the northeast quadrant of the cyclone?...

    Then, adding to that thought, could Jacksonville get a larger surge than Tampa for the same reason?...

    Wow!

     

  5. Posted

    I'm curious what people here think about my idea that Miami's storm surge in SE Florida was worse than where Irma made landfall on the FL Peninsula, because of being in the northeast quadrant of the cyclone?...

    Then, adding to that thought, could Jacksonville get a larger surge than Tampa for the same reason?...

  22. Posted

    22 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

    Good question and certainly not a binary yes or no. This part of Cuba is much flatter so it's not getting shredded like it would over Hispaniola or eastern Cuba. Right now it's clearly strengthening and is almost certainly cat 5 again.

    As long as there's no landfall from the center of the eye (being so massive), she's free to "juice".

  23. Posted

    4 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

    Can higher SSTs overcome land interaction/friction?  I suppose it depends on land elevation and time the eye spends over land.

    I would say any land interaction automatically weakens a tropical system's intensity.  The size of what's left of Irma could expand or contract though.