BTRWx

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Posts posted by BTRWx

  1. Posted

    As of a couple days ago, multiple ensemble means were quite gung-ho about late month troughiness.  Last night's 0z eps has 1 day of it at 850mb!  The long range guidance continues to struggle! 

  2. Posted

    On 7/10/2017 at 6:24 PM, WxReese said:

    Magic! ;)

     

    Haha, nah. I saved it off of COD as a GIF, went to GIFY, uploaded it and copied the "GIF Link" and pasted it here. I'm assuming the board did the rest of the work. It does work on FB as well. 

    :thumbsup:

  3. Posted

    13 hours ago, mdhokie said:

    Heat sucks and those wishing for it are crazy. You can always add more layers for cold, there only so many layers you can remove for heat. Even with the recent rain my grass is looking toasty. 

    Ask and you shall receive! :lol:

  4. Posted

    27 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

    Find it a little hard to believe that wall of rain manages to completely poof out.  Certainly has happened before though.

    imby is just under 81 degrees, so I like that possibility

    eta: There's also another interesting convection burst behind it! wv-animated.gif

  7. Posted

    2 hours ago, Bob Chill said:

    Unfortunately 07-08 and 08-09 are better solar analogs. 2019-2020 is lookin pretty sweet tho. 10 year anniversary as an added bonus. 

    I think even 1 more step back from that when considering where we are currently and when the last time the same value was reached while having a downtrend.  I really jumped the gun.

  10. Posted

    35 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

    In order for an MCS or Derecho to survive the loss of daytime heating and downsloping, they typically need a stout Elevation Mixing Layer (EML) and about 4,000 j/kg of SBCAPE ahead of them.  The 2012 and 2008 derechoes had just that.

    Was yesterday an anomaly?

  12. Posted

    3 hours ago, MN Transplant said:

    DPs dropping at DCA.  Not exactly what you want to see if you want a "surprise" event today.

    Man, the weather gods must be really mad.  Anything even close to mentioning wx has been flipping against us as far as forecast verification.

  17. Posted

    1 hour ago, WxReese said:

    Nothing like covering a "surprise" tornado warning this afternoon! Let me know what y'all think and what I can do better next time. (Other than being out of breath at the start as I was running around to get us on the air ASAP from the commercial break during the newscast.) 
     

     

    It sucks to see no response to your request.  You're much better at that than many of us, but maybe you could look up some past footage or possibly reach out to other local media forecasters to compare your work. 

  22. Posted

    1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said:

    My experience has been watching the 0.5 and 1.5 degree Base Velocity.  If there is a bright spot that quickly disappears then it can indicate a mass of precip cooled air rapidly descending to the surface.

    Awesome, thanks!

  23. Posted

    13 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

    We're actually flirting with 1,000 CAPE from I-70 south somehow there's enough energy for gullywashers and an isolated wet microburst.

    I should know this, but I'm sure others are interested.  What signals indicate microburst chances and how would we best recognize one without being in one?  I'd assume storm relative velocity is one?

  25. Posted

    7 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

    We're actually flirting with 1,000 CAPE from I-70 south somehow there's enough energy for gullywashers and an isolated wet microburst.

    Not good with what has already fallen