
BTRWx
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Posts posted by BTRWx
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On 7/10/2017 at 6:24 PM, WxReese said:Magic!
Haha, nah. I saved it off of COD as a GIF, went to GIFY, uploaded it and copied the "GIF Link" and pasted it here. I'm assuming the board did the rest of the work. It does work on FB as well.
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13 hours ago, mdhokie said:Heat sucks and those wishing for it are crazy. You can always add more layers for cold, there only so many layers you can remove for heat. Even with the recent rain my grass is looking toasty.
Ask and you shall receive!
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27 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:Find it a little hard to believe that wall of rain manages to completely poof out. Certainly has happened before though.
imby is just under 81 degrees, so I like that possibility
eta: There's also another interesting convection burst behind it!
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per Dr. Cohen
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It took me forever to hunt this down! Thank God for Masters's archive! https://maps.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/archive.html?year=2006&month=07
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2 hours ago, Bob Chill said:Unfortunately 07-08 and 08-09 are better solar analogs. 2019-2020 is lookin pretty sweet tho. 10 year anniversary as an added bonus.
I think even 1 more step back from that when considering where we are currently and when the last time the same value was reached while having a downtrend. I really jumped the gun.
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26 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:09-10 looks like the top analog to me.
I took a second look.
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I need to break a bad habit of jumping to early conclusions. The current trend in solar flux is bittersweet. We have a ways to go, but when we get there it will be worth the wait!
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35 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:In order for an MCS or Derecho to survive the loss of daytime heating and downsloping, they typically need a stout Elevation Mixing Layer (EML) and about 4,000 j/kg of SBCAPE ahead of them. The 2012 and 2008 derechoes had just that.
Was yesterday an anomaly?
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No idea what brought me to this article, but I just keep scratching my head. Do they really think the CFS is that good? https://www2.gmu.edu/news/433341
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3 hours ago, MN Transplant said:DPs dropping at DCA. Not exactly what you want to see if you want a "surprise" event today.
Man, the weather gods must be really mad. Anything even close to mentioning wx has been flipping against us as far as forecast verification.
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I wonder what was D.C.'s coldest derecho-like MCS on record to survive over the Apps...
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Just now, Eskimo Joe said:That's not a discrepancy. That's two successive images.
That much of a change between two consecutive frames of the hrrr...
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1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said:Another bust. We really are lacking in decent events over the past year and a half.
Saving up for when it counts most!
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1 hour ago, WxReese said:Nothing like covering a "surprise" tornado warning this afternoon! Let me know what y'all think and what I can do better next time. (Other than being out of breath at the start as I was running around to get us on the air ASAP from the commercial break during the newscast.)
It sucks to see no response to your request. You're much better at that than many of us, but maybe you could look up some past footage or possibly reach out to other local media forecasters to compare your work.
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Very dark to my west
eta: I received a trace
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4 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:Don't fret. You'll catch up on rainfall this winter.
Not if Greenland doesn't melt
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I have sun! That cell just nw of the District looks threatening.
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1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said:My experience has been watching the 0.5 and 1.5 degree Base Velocity. If there is a bright spot that quickly disappears then it can indicate a mass of precip cooled air rapidly descending to the surface.
Awesome, thanks!
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13 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:We're actually flirting with 1,000 CAPE from I-70 south somehow there's enough energy for gullywashers and an isolated wet microburst.
I should know this, but I'm sure others are interested. What signals indicate microburst chances and how would we best recognize one without being in one? I'd assume storm relative velocity is one?
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Get involved lurkers!
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7 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:We're actually flirting with 1,000 CAPE from I-70 south somehow there's enough energy for gullywashers and an isolated wet microburst.
Not good with what has already fallen
July Banter Thread
in Mid Atlantic
Posted
As of a couple days ago, multiple ensemble means were quite gung-ho about late month troughiness. Last night's 0z eps has 1 day of it at 850mb! The long range guidance continues to struggle!